The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (16‑7) vs Southern Miss (12‑13) |
464 | South Alabama Wins | 9% | 16% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 3% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern (13‑11) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (16‑9) |
133 | Georgia Southern Wins | 8% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 6% | 11% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (7‑17) vs Marshall (15‑8) |
77 | Old Dominion Wins | 7% | 16% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 7% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑19) vs Arkansas St. (14‑10) |
53 | UL Monroe Wins | 6% | 14% | 23% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 7% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (14‑11) vs Troy (16‑8) |
10 | Texas State Wins | 9% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 5% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (11‑13) vs Georgia St. (9‑15) |
7 | James Madison Wins | 7% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 6% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (8‑16) vs Coastal Carolina (14‑11) |
5 | LA Lafayette Wins | 6% | 13% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||