The Aces What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Aces play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 23 | 9 | 47% | 32% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 22 | 9 | 32% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 22 | 10 | 21% | 38% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 47% | 32% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 32% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 21% | 38% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Aces beats Lynx |
Worst Case Scenario Lynx beats Aces |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 35 | 9 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 34 | 10 | 96% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 33 | 11 | 78% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 32 | 12 | 48% | 47% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 31 | 13 | 19% | 57% | 23% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 30 | 14 | 4% | 39% | 48% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 15% | 46% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 28 | 16 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 38% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 12% | 1% | ^ |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 26 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 36% | 36% | 10% | <1% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 45% | 37% | <1% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 29% | 68% | <1% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 88% | 2% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 91% | 7% |