The Dream What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dream play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 20 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 19 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 13% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 19 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 8% | 26% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 13% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 13% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mercury beats Mystics |
Worst Case Scenario Mystics beats Mercury |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 32 | 12 | 20% | 48% | 28% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 31 | 13 | 4% | 29% | 47% | 21% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 30 | 14 | <1% | 9% | 41% | 47% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 17% | 63% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 28 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 44% | 40% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 40% | 32% | 10% | 1% | ^ |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 26 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 40% | 30% | 7% | <1% |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 44% | 28% | <1% |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 34% | 59% | <1% |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 81% | 2% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 86% | 9% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 72% | 27% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 45% | 55% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 19 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 16% | 84% |