PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Fever What If?

The Fever What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fever play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fever What If?

Next Game - Mercury (5‑12)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 7 1% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 13% 13% 30%
Current Standings 9 7 1% 4% 6% 9% 10% 12% 12% 13% 33%
Lose Next Game 9 8 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 12% 12% 13% 38%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 13% 13% 30%
Current Standings 1% 4% 6% 9% 10% 12% 12% 13% 33%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 12% 12% 13% 38%
Best Case Scenario
   Fever beats Mercury
Worst Case Scenario
   Mercury beats Fever
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
28 of 28 100% 37 7 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 28 96% 36 8 94% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 35 9 85% 14% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 34 10 69% 28% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 33 11 50% 41% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 32 12 30% 47% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 31 13 15% 40% 35% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 30 14 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 28 71% 29 15 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 28 68% 28 16 <1% 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 27 17 <1% 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% <1%
16 of 28 57% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
15 of 28 54% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 6%
14 of 28 50% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 35% 19%
13 of 28 46% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 37% 43%
12 of 28 43% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 68%
11 of 28 39% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 87%
10 of 28 36% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
5 of 28 18% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs