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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Liberty What If?

The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liberty What If?

Next Game - Sparks (7‑8)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 12 5 8% 12% 14% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 10%
Current Standings 11 5 7% 10% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 14%
Lose Next Game 11 6 5% 9% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 16%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 8% 12% 14% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 10%
Current Standings 7% 10% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 14%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 9% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 16%
Best Case Scenario
   Liberty beats Sparks
 Worst Case Scenario
   Sparks beats Liberty
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
28 of 28 100% 39 5 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 36 8 96% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 35 9 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 34 10 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 33 11 49% 41% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 32 12 30% 47% 20% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 31 13 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 30 14 6% 28% 41% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 28 64% 29 15 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 28 16 <1% 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 27 17 <1% 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 26 18 <1% <1% 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% 2% <1%
14 of 28 50% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 39% 27% 7% 1%
13 of 28 46% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
12 of 28 43% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 34% 17%
11 of 28 39% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 37% 40%
10 of 28 36% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 67%
9 of 28 32% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
5 of 28 18% 16 28 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs