The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 20 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 22% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 19 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 29% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 19 | 14 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 25% | 35% | 1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 25% | 1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 29% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mercury beats Mystics Valkyries beats Sparks |
Worst Case Scenario Mystics beats Mercury Sparks beats Valkyries |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 31 | 13 | 10% | 45% | 38% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 30 | 14 | 1% | 18% | 47% | 32% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 3% | 25% | 55% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 28 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 42% | 39% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 38% | 33% | 13% | 1% | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 26 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 37% | 34% | 10% | <1% |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 44% | 33% | <1% |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 32% | 62% | <1% |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 83% | 2% |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 87% | 9% |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 74% | 25% |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 48% | 52% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 19 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 80% |