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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Lynx What If?

The Lynx What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lynx play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lynx What If?

Next Game - Mystics (7‑7)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 14 3 41% 23% 14% 9% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 13 3 38% 22% 14% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 13 4 33% 22% 16% 10% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 41% 23% 14% 9% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 38% 22% 14% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 33% 22% 16% 10% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Mystics
 Worst Case Scenario
   Mystics beats Lynx
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
28 of 28 100% 41 3 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 38 6 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 36 8 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 35 9 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 34 10 71% 27% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 33 11 55% 39% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 32 12 36% 47% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 31 13 20% 46% 29% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 30 14 8% 35% 39% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 28 57% 29 15 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 28 16 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 27 17 <1% 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 26 18 <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% <1%
12 of 28 43% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
11 of 28 39% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6%
10 of 28 36% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 30% 36% 21%
9 of 28 32% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 35% 47%
8 of 28 29% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 22% 73%
7 of 28 25% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
5 of 28 18% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 13 31 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs