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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Mystics What If?

The Mystics What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mystics play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mystics What If?

Next Game - Lynx (13‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 8 7 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 11% 42%
Current Standings 7 7 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 48%
Lose Next Game 7 8 <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 11% 12% 50%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 11% 42%
Current Standings 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 48%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 11% 12% 50%
Best Case Scenario
   Mystics beats Lynx
 Worst Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Mystics
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
30 of 30 100% 37 7 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 35 9 88% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 34 10 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 33 11 50% 41% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 32 12 29% 48% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 31 13 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 30 14 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 30 73% 29 15 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 30 70% 28 16 <1% 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1%
20 of 30 67% 27 17 <1% 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4% <1% <1%
19 of 30 63% 26 18 <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2% <1%
18 of 30 60% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
17 of 30 57% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 6%
16 of 30 53% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 31% 37% 21%
15 of 30 50% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 36% 46%
14 of 30 47% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 23% 72%
13 of 30 43% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 89%
10 of 30 33% 17 27 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 30 17% 12 32 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 30 0% 7 37 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs