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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Sun What If?

The Sun What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sun play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sun What If?

Next Game - Sky (4‑11)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 2 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
27 of 27 100% 29 15 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 27 96% 28 16 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 27 93% 27 17 <1% 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% <1% <1%
24 of 27 89% 26 18 <1% <1% 5% 23% 37% 27% 7% 1% <1%
23 of 27 85% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% <1%
22 of 27 81% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
21 of 27 78% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 34% 32% 16%
20 of 27 74% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 35% 42%
19 of 27 70% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 69%
18 of 27 67% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
15 of 27 56% 17 27 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 27 37% 12 32 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 27 19% 7 37 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 27 0% 2 42 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs