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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Valkyries What If?

The Valkyries What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Valkyries play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Valkyries What If?

Next Game - Aces (11‑4)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 11 6 4% 8% 11% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 19%
Current Standings 10 6 3% 7% 10% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 23%
Lose Next Game 10 7 2% 5% 9% 12% 12% 13% 12% 11% 25%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 4% 8% 11% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 19%
Current Standings 3% 7% 10% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 23%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 5% 9% 12% 12% 13% 12% 11% 25%
Best Case Scenario
   Valkyries beats Aces
 Worst Case Scenario
   Aces beats Valkyries
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
28 of 28 100% 38 6 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 36 8 88% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 35 9 75% 24% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 34 10 59% 36% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 33 11 39% 47% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 32 12 22% 48% 26% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 31 13 10% 38% 38% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 30 14 4% 24% 43% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 28 68% 29 15 1% 10% 35% 38% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 28 64% 28 16 <1% 4% 20% 40% 28% 7% 1% <1% <1%
17 of 28 61% 27 17 <1% 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3% <1% <1%
16 of 28 57% 26 18 <1% <1% 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% <1%
15 of 28 54% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
14 of 28 50% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5%
13 of 28 46% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 19%
12 of 28 43% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 36% 42%
11 of 28 39% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 68%
10 of 28 36% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 87%
5 of 28 18% 15 29 X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 28 0% 10 34 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs