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NFL - Week 11 of 17

AFC Playoff Picture

Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

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AFC Playoff Standings

    Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
Team Division W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Patriots East 6 3 0 < 1% 6% 20% 44% 1% 2% 26%
Dolphins East 5 5 0 < 1% < 1% 2% 19% 1% 3% 74%
Jets East 4 5 0 < 1% < 1% 1% 6% < 1% 1% 92%
Bills East 3 6 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 2% < 1% < 1% 98%
 
Bengals North 7 2 0 5% 47% 22% 7% 8% 6% 5%
Steelers North 6 3 0 1% 13% 3% 1% 37% 17% 29%
Ravens North 5 4 0 < 1% 1% 1% 1% 12% 13% 72%
Browns North 1 8 0 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
 
Colts South 9 0 0 91% 6% 2% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Jaguars South 5 4 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 14% 18% 68%
Texans South 5 4 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 12% 15% 73%
Titans South 3 6 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
 
Broncos West 6 3 0 2% 12% 31% 11% 5% 11% 27%
Chargers West 6 3 0 < 1% 14% 19% 11% 7% 13% 36%
Raiders West 2 7 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
Chiefs West 2 7 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
  • Notes

  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the post season tournament
  • ** denotes a bye in the first round of the post season tournament

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