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Thu Oct 8 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 5 of 18

Browns What If?

The Browns What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Browns play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Browns What If?

Next Game - Jets (1‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 1 0 13% 14% 10% 5% 11% 11% 9% 27%
Current Standings 3 1 0 11% 14% 10% 5% 10% 10% 9% 31%
Lose Next Game 3 2 0 5% 12% 12% 7% 9% 10% 9% 36%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 14% 16% 11% 5% 10% 10% 9% 26%
Current Standings 11% 14% 10% 5% 10% 10% 9% 31%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 11% 11% 6% 9% 11% 10% 37%
Best Case Scenario
   Browns beats Jets
   Falcons beats Ravens
   Rams beats Bills
 Worst Case Scenario
   Jets beats Browns
   Ravens beats Falcons
   Bills beats Rams
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
13 of 13 100% 16 1 0 84% 15% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 15 2 0 59% 36% 5% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 14 3 0 30% 47% 17% 1% 4% <1% <1% ^
10 of 13 77% 13 4 0 9% 36% 33% 7% 13% 2% <1% <1%
9 of 13 69% 12 5 0 1% 14% 30% 16% 23% 14% 2% <1%
8 of 13 62% 11 6 0 <1% 3% 15% 18% 19% 30% 13% 3%
7 of 13 54% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 4% 12% 7% 27% 32% 19%
6 of 13 46% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% 1% 8% 26% 60%
5 of 13 38% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 6% 92%
4 of 13 31% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 13 23% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 13 15% 5 12 0 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
1 of 13 8% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs