The UMass-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how UMass-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 3 | 42% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 3 | 36% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 4 | 23% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 42% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 36% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 23% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario UMass-Lowell beats New Hampshire |
Worst Case Scenario New Hampshire beats UMass-Lowell |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 13 | 3 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 12 | 4 | 90% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 11 | 5 | 50% | 44% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 10 | 6 | 10% | 44% | 39% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 9 | 7 | <1% | 7% | 36% | 42% | 13% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 8 | 8 | X | <1% | 3% | 25% | 47% | 22% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 7 | 9 | X | X | X | 1% | 18% | 50% | 27% | 4% | <1% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 6 | 10 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 19% | 47% | 28% | 5% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 5 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 22% | 50% | 27% |