The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Charlotte (1‑7) vs East Carolina (5‑3) |
5 | Charlotte Wins | 14% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 12% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis (8‑1) vs Tulane (6‑2) |
4 | Memphis Wins | 13% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 12% | 15% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (5‑4) vs Black Knights (4‑4) |
2 | Temple Wins | 13% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (2‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (3‑5) |
1 | Tulsa Wins | 12% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 12% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (3‑5) vs Rice (4‑5) |
0 | UAB Wins | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice Wins | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (4‑4) vs South Florida (6‑2) |
0 | UTSA Wins | 13% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 12% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||