The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Black Knights (3‑3) vs Tulane (5‑1) |
7 | Black Knights Wins | 26% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UAB (2‑4) vs Memphis (6‑0) |
3 | UAB Wins | 22% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Memphis Wins | 21% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (3‑3) vs South Florida (5‑1) |
2 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 21% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 20% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UTSA (3‑3) vs North Texas (5‑1) |
2 | UTSA Wins | 21% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (3‑3) vs Tulsa (2‑4) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | 21% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 21% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Temple (3‑3) vs Charlotte (1‑5) |
0 | Temple Wins | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 20% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||