The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Temple (5‑5) vs Tulane (8‑2) |
24 | Temple Wins | 22% | 38% | 22% | 14% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 16% | 21% | 30% | 30% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice (5‑5) vs North Texas (9‑1) |
22 | Rice Wins | 30% | 29% | 20% | 16% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | 14% | 23% | 31% | 30% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (5‑5) vs East Carolina (7‑3) |
15 | UTSA Wins | 23% | 29% | 32% | 13% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 14% | 22% | 25% | 35% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (3‑7) vs South Florida (7‑3) |
1 | UAB Wins | 17% | 25% | 29% | 28% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 17% | 24% | 28% | 26% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights (5‑4) vs Tulsa (3‑7) |
0 | Black Knights Wins | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||