The Navy Midshipmen What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Navy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 32% | 36% | 25% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | 1% | 12% | 33% | 47% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 60% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17% | 24% | 28% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 18% | 23% | 47% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Rice beats North Texas Temple beats Tulane UTSA beats East Carolina |
Worst Case Scenario North Texas beats Rice Tulane beats Temple East Carolina beats UTSA |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 1 of 1 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 32% | 36% | 24% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 1 | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1% | 13% | 33% | 47% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |