Are the Navy Midshipmen going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Navy standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Navy | 2i Navy Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs VMI 52-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UAB 38-24 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Tulsa 42-23 Sat, Sep 27 vs Rice Sat, Oct 04 vs Air Force Sat, Oct 11 @ Temple Sat, Oct 25 vs Florida Atlantic |
0 | 2 | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Tulane | 0 Tulane Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs N. Western 23-3 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ South Alabama 33-31 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Duke 34-27 Sat, Sep 20 @ Ole Miss Sat, Sep 27 @ Tulsa Thu, Oct 09 vs East Carolina Sat, Oct 18 vs Black Knights |
0 | 0 | 20% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| North Texas | 0 North Texas Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Lamar 51-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ W. Michigan 33-30 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Wash. St. 59-10 Sat, Sep 20 @ Black Knights Sat, Sep 27 vs South Alabama Fri, Oct 10 vs South Florida Sat, Oct 18 vs UTSA |
0 | 0 | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Memphis | 0 Memphis Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Chattanooga 45-10 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Georgia St. 38-16 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Troy 28-7 Sat, Sep 20 vs Arkansas Sat, Sep 27 @ Florida Atlantic Sat, Oct 04 vs Tulsa Sat, Oct 18 @ UAB |
0 | 0 | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| South Florida | 0 South Florida Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Boise State 34-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Florida 18-16 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Miami 12-49 Sat, Sep 20 vs South Carolina State Fri, Oct 03 vs Charlotte Fri, Oct 10 @ North Texas Sat, Oct 18 vs Florida Atlantic |
0 | 0 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| East Carolina | 0 East Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 @ N.C. State 17-24 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Campbell 56-3 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ C. Carolina 38-0 Sat, Sep 20 vs BYU Thu, Sep 25 vs Black Knights Thu, Oct 09 @ Tulane Thu, Oct 16 vs Tulsa |
0 | 0 | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Rice | 0 Rice Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ UL Lafayette 14-12 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Houston 9-35 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Prairie View A&M 38-17 Thu, Sep 18 @ Charlotte Sat, Sep 27 @ Navy Sat, Oct 04 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Oct 11 @ UTSA |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% |
| Temple | 0 Temple Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ UMass 42-10 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Howard 55-7 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Oklahoma 3-42 Sat, Sep 20 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Oct 04 vs UTSA Sat, Oct 11 vs Navy Sat, Oct 18 @ Charlotte |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| UTSA | 0 UTSA Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Texas A&M 24-42 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Texas St. 36-43 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Incarnate Word 48-20 Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado St. Sat, Oct 04 @ Temple Sat, Oct 11 vs Rice Sat, Oct 18 @ North Texas |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Black Knights | 0 Black Knights Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs Tarleton State 27-30 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Kansas St. 24-21 Sat, Sep 20 vs North Texas Thu, Sep 25 @ East Carolina Sat, Oct 04 @ UAB Sat, Oct 11 vs Charlotte |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% |
| Florida Atlantic | 0 Florida Atlantic Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Maryland 7-39 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Florida A&M 56-14 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Florida Intl. 28-38 Sat, Sep 27 vs Memphis Sat, Oct 04 @ Rice Sat, Oct 11 vs UAB Sat, Oct 18 @ South Florida |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
| Charlotte | 0 Charlotte Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs App. St. 11-34 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs North Carolina 3-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Monmouth 42-35 Thu, Sep 18 vs Rice Fri, Oct 03 @ South Florida Sat, Oct 11 @ Black Knights Sat, Oct 18 vs Temple |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% |
| UAB | 0 UAB Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Alabama State 52-42 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Navy 24-38 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Akron 31-28 Sat, Sep 20 @ Tennessee Sat, Oct 04 vs Black Knights Sat, Oct 11 @ Florida Atlantic Sat, Oct 18 vs Memphis |
1 | 1 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% |
| Tulsa | 0 Tulsa Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Abilene Christian 35-7 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ New Mexico St. 14-21 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Navy 23-42 Fri, Sep 19 @ Oklahoma St. Sat, Sep 27 vs Tulane Sat, Oct 04 @ Memphis Thu, Oct 16 @ East Carolina |
1 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Tulane | 0 | 0 | 8% |
| (4)Memphis | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (6)East Carolina | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (3)North Texas | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (5)South Florida | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)Temple | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (7)Rice | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (9)UTSA | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (13)UAB | 0 | 1 | 1% |
| (10)Black Knights | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (12)Charlotte | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (11)Florida Atlantic | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (14)Tulsa | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | 70% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UAB (2‑1) |
38‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Tulsa (1‑2) |
42‑23 | Away | Sat Sep 13, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Rice (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Sep 27, 3:30 pm | |
| 7 | Temple (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 11, TBD | |
| 9 | Florida Atlantic (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm | |
| 10 | North Texas (3‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 12 | South Florida (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm | |
| 14 | Memphis (3‑0) |
Away | Thu Nov 27, 7:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VMI | ‑‑ | 52‑7 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | Air Force (1‑0) |
Mountain WestMntn West | Home | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm | |
| 11 | Notre Dame (0‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Nov 8, 7:30 pm |