The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dayton Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| Dayton (6‑2) vs Davidson (6‑3) |
29 | Dayton Wins | 24% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Davidson Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| George Mason (7‑2) vs La Salle (7‑2) |
1 | George Mason Wins | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis (5‑5) vs Loyola Chicago (5‑4) |
1 | Saint Louis Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Chicago Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMass (4‑2) vs Duquesne (7‑2) |
0 | UMass Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (6‑2) vs VCU (4‑5) |
0 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VCU Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington (7‑2) vs Fordham (4‑5) |
0 | Geo. Washington Wins | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island (5‑4) vs St. Joseph's (7‑2) |
0 | Rhode Island Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | 21% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||