PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Dec 9 8:30 am

Atlantic 10 Basketball - Week 5 of 18

Dayton Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Dayton Flyers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flyers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dayton Flyers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Dayton Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Dayton Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
Dayton
(6‑2)

vs
Davidson
(6‑3)
29 Dayton Wins 24% 16% 13% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Davidson Wins 15% 14% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
George Mason
(7‑2)

vs
La Salle
(7‑2)
1 George Mason Wins 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
La Salle Wins 22% 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Saint Louis
(5‑5)

vs
Loyola Chicago
(5‑4)
1 Saint Louis Wins 22% 16% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Wins 21% 16% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
UMass
(4‑2)

vs
Duquesne
(7‑2)
0 UMass Wins 22% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Duquesne Wins 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(6‑2)

vs
VCU
(4‑5)
0 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins 22% 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
VCU Wins 21% 16% 12% 10% 9% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Geo. Washington
(7‑2)

vs
Fordham
(4‑5)
0 Geo. Washington Wins 21% 16% 12% 10% 9% 7% 7% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Fordham Wins 22% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Rhode Island
(5‑4)

vs
St. Joseph's
(7‑2)
0 Rhode Island Wins 22% 15% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 15% 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
St. Joseph's Wins 21% 15% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament