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Wed Feb 28 12:00 am

Atlantic 10 Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Geo. Washington Colonials Standings

Where are the Geo. Washington Colonials going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Geo. Washington standings table presents the probabilities of the Colonials winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic 10 Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
Richmond 12i
Richmond Recent Games

Lost Wed, Feb 14 vs UMass            59-69 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 @  Geo. Washington  90-74 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 @  Rhode Island     85-77 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Davidson         66-63 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  St. Louis       
     Sat, Mar 02 vs VCU             
     Wed, Mar 06 vs St. Joseph's    
     Sat, Mar 09 @  George Mason    

2 14 64% 23% 8% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Dayton 12
Dayton Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 13 vs Duquesne         75-59 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Fordham          78-70 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 @  George Mason     67-71 
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs Davidson         80-66 
     Fri, Mar 01 @  L-Chicago       
     Tue, Mar 05 @  St. Louis       
     Fri, Mar 08 vs VCU             

3 15 20% 42% 28% 10% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Loyola Chicago 12
Loyola Chicago Recent Games

Won  Wed, Feb 14 vs St. Joseph's     64-59 
Won  Sun, Feb 18 @  Rhode Island     77-67 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs George Mason     80-59 
Lost Tue, Feb 27 @  St. Bonavnt      64-79 
     Fri, Mar 01 vs Dayton          
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Davidson        
     Sat, Mar 09 vs La Salle        

3 15 11% 29% 45% 15% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
VCU 10
VCU Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 09 vs Dayton           49-47 
Won  Fri, Feb 16 @  St. Louis        95-85 
Lost Tue, Feb 20 @  UMass            52-74 
Won  Sun, Feb 25 vs St. Joseph's     73-69 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs Rhode Island    
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Richmond        
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Duquesne        
     Fri, Mar 08 @  Dayton          

4 14 4% 6% 19% 51% 12% 7% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 9
St. Bonaventure Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Davidson         81-80 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 @  La Salle         59-72 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 @  UMass            75-67 
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs L-Chicago        79-64 
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Geo. Washington 
     Sat, Mar 09 vs St. Louis       

7 16 X X X 14% 58% 17% 8% 2% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
UMass 9
UMass Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  La Salle         81-82 
Won  Tue, Feb 20 vs VCU              74-52 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 vs St. Bonavnt      67-75 
Won  Tue, Feb 27 @  Geo. Washington  69-57 
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Davidson        
     Wed, Mar 06 vs Fordham         

7 16 X X X 6% 25% 49% 16% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
St. Joseph's 7
St. Joseph's Recent Games

Lost Wed, Feb 14 @  L-Chicago        59-64 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Duquesne         56-66 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 vs Geo. Washington  79-75 
Lost Sun, Feb 25 @  VCU              69-73 
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Fordham         
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Richmond        
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Davidson        

8 15 X X X <1% 1% 11% 29% 27% 16% 10% 5% 3% <1% <1% ^
George Mason 7
George Mason Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 13 vs Geo. Washington  90-67 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 vs Dayton           71-67 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  L-Chicago        59-80 
Lost Tue, Feb 27 @  Fordham          60-61 
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Duquesne        
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Rhode Island    
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Richmond        

8 15 X X X X 1% 10% 21% 29% 23% 13% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^
Duquesne 6
Duquesne Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 13 @  Dayton           59-75 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs St. Joseph's     66-56 
Won  Tue, Feb 20 vs St. Louis        81-66 
Lost Fri, Feb 23 @  Fordham          67-79 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs La Salle        
     Sat, Mar 02 @  George Mason    
     Tue, Mar 05 @  VCU             
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Geo. Washington 

8 14 X X X <1% 3% 5% 19% 23% 28% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Fordham 6
Fordham Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Dayton           70-78 
Lost Tue, Feb 20 @  Davidson         53-68 
Won  Fri, Feb 23 vs Duquesne         79-67 
Won  Tue, Feb 27 vs George Mason     61-60 
     Sat, Mar 02 @  St. Joseph's    
     Wed, Mar 06 @  UMass           
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Rhode Island    

9 15 X X X X <1% 2% 4% 9% 12% 22% 19% 16% 15% 1% <1%
Rhode Island 5
Rhode Island Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 11 @  UMass            79-81 
Lost Sun, Feb 18 vs L-Chicago        67-77 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 vs Richmond         77-85 
Lost Sun, Feb 25 @  La Salle         61-84 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  VCU             
     Sat, Mar 02 vs St. Louis       
     Wed, Mar 06 vs George Mason    
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Fordham         

9 14 X X X X X <1% 2% 4% 8% 19% 28% 19% 15% 5% <1%
Davidson 5
Davidson Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  St. Bonavnt      80-81 
Won  Tue, Feb 20 vs Fordham          68-53 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Richmond         63-66 
Lost Tue, Feb 27 @  Dayton           66-80 
     Sat, Mar 02 vs UMass           
     Wed, Mar 06 vs L-Chicago       
     Sat, Mar 09 @  St. Joseph's    

10 15 X X X X X X 1% 3% 7% 14% 23% 25% 21% 5% 1%
La Salle 5
La Salle Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 13 @  Davidson         56-71 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs UMass            82-81 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 vs St. Bonavnt      72-59 
Won  Sun, Feb 25 vs Rhode Island     84-61 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  Duquesne        
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Geo. Washington 
     Sat, Mar 09 @  L-Chicago       

10 15 X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 9% 14% 24% 29% 14% 3%
Saint Louis 3
Saint Louis Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 10 @  St. Joseph's     86-87 
Lost Fri, Feb 16 vs VCU              85-95 
Lost Tue, Feb 20 @  Duquesne         66-81 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Geo. Washington  96-91 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs Richmond        
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Rhode Island    
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Dayton          
     Sat, Mar 09 @  St. Bonavnt     

11 14 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 49% 36%
Geo. Washington 3
Geo. Washington Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 17 vs Richmond         74-90 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 @  St. Joseph's     75-79 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  St. Louis        91-96 
Lost Tue, Feb 27 vs UMass            57-69 
     Sat, Mar 02 @  La Salle        
     Wed, Mar 06 vs St. Bonavnt     
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Duquesne        

12 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 10% 26% 60%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(15) Colonials 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye X
(10)Fordham 6 9 22%
(12)Davidson 5 10 21%
(11)Rhode Island 5 9 21%
(13)La Salle 5 10 12%
(8)George Mason 7 8 9%
(9)Duquesne 6 8 8%
(7)St. Joseph's 7 8 8%
(14)Saint Louis 3 11 1%
(6)UMass 9 7 <1%
(5)St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt 9 7 <1%
(1)Richmond 12 2 X
(2)Dayton 12 3 X
(3)Loyola Chicago 12 3 X
(4)VCU 10 4 X
Elimination X



Colonials Conference Schedule
Current Week 17
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Fordham
(12‑16)
113‑119 Home Wed Jan 3, 7:00 pm
9 VCU
(18‑9)
84‑82 Away Sat Jan 6, 4:00 pm
10 Davidson
(15‑13)
83‑79 Home Sat Jan 13, 2:00 pm
11 George Mason
(18‑10)
75‑62 Home Mon Jan 15, 2:00 pm
11 UMass
(18‑10)
67‑81 Away Sat Jan 20, 12:00 pm
12 Richmond
(20‑7)
74‑82 Away Wed Jan 24, 7:00 pm
12 La Salle
(14‑14)
70‑80 Home Sat Jan 27, 6:00 pm
13 Dayton
(22‑5)
61‑83 Away Tue Jan 30, 7:00 pm
14 Rhode Island
(11‑16)
65‑88 Home Tue Feb 6, 7:00 pm
14 Loyola Chicago
(20‑8)
73‑81 Home Sat Feb 10, 12:00 pm
15 George Mason
(18‑10)
67‑90 Away Tue Feb 13, 7:00 pm
15 Richmond
(20‑7)
74‑90 Home Sat Feb 17, 12:30 pm
16 St. Joseph's
(17‑11)
75‑79 Away Wed Feb 21, 7:00 pm
16 Saint Louis
(10‑17)
91‑96 Away Sat Feb 24, 3:00 pm
17 UMass
(18‑10)
57‑69 Home Tue Feb 27, 7:00 pm
17 La Salle
(14‑14)
  Away Sat Mar 2, 2:00 pm
18 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(18‑10)
  Home Wed Mar 6, 7:00 pm
18 Duquesne
(16‑11)
  Away Sat Mar 9, 2:00 pm


Colonials Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Stonehill
(4‑25)
NortheastNorth East 89‑44 Home Mon Nov 6, 8:00 pm
1 William & Mary
(8‑21)
CoastalCoastal 95‑89 Home Sat Nov 11, 1:00 pm
2 Hofstra
(18‑11)
CoastalCoastal 71‑60 Home Tue Nov 14, 7:00 pm
2 New Hampshire
(15‑11)
America EastAmerica East 79‑67 Home Sat Nov 18, 1:00 pm
3 Ohio
(16‑12)
MACMAC 99‑94 Away Fri Nov 24, 7:00 pm
3 UIC
(11‑18)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 79‑89 Away Sat Nov 25, 7:00 pm
3 Delaware
(17‑12)
CoastalCoastal 81‑71 Away Sun Nov 26, 4:30 pm
4 South Carolina
(22‑5)
SECSEC 67‑89 Away Fri Dec 1, 7:00 pm
5 Navy
(10‑17)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 79‑77 Home Tue Dec 5, 7:00 pm
5 Coppin St.
(2‑23)
MideasternMid-Eastern 76‑45 Home Sat Dec 9, 6:00 pm
6 Bowie St. ‑‑ 88‑73 Home Tue Dec 12, 7:00 pm
7 Alcorn St.
(9‑17)
SouthwesternSWAC 79‑75 Home Thu Dec 21, 2:00 pm
8 MD Eastern Shore
(8‑17)
MideasternMid-Eastern 69‑63 Home Sat Dec 30, 4:00 pm