The Most Important Games for the Geo. Washington Colonials are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonials final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Geo. Washington Colonials fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Geo. Washington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Geo. Washington (13‑7) vs Saint Louis (19‑1) |
35 | Geo. Washington Wins | 1% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| George Mason (18‑2) vs Davidson (12‑7) |
4 | George Mason Wins | 1% | 2% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Davidson Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Chicago (5‑16) vs St. Joseph's (12‑8) |
3 | Loyola Chicago Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's Wins | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island (12‑8) vs Dayton (14‑6) |
3 | Rhode Island Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dayton Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond (13‑8) vs VCU (14‑6) |
2 | Richmond Wins | 1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| VCU Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham (10‑10) vs La Salle (7‑13) |
1 | Fordham Wins | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (12‑8) vs Duquesne (11‑9) |
1 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||