The Most Important Games for the George Mason Patriots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. George Mason Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
George Mason Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| George Mason (12‑1) vs La Salle (4‑9) |
24 | George Mason Wins | 20% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 13% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Duquesne (8‑5) vs Davidson (8‑4) |
2 | Duquesne Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Davidson Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Loyola Chicago (4‑9) vs Rhode Island (9‑4) |
2 | Loyola Chicago Wins | 20% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Rhode Island Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Geo. Washington (9‑4) vs Richmond (10‑3) |
2 | Geo. Washington Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Richmond Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| St. Joseph's (8‑5) vs Saint Louis (12‑1) |
1 | St. Joseph's Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Saint Louis Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Fordham (9‑4) vs Dayton (9‑4) |
0 | Fordham Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 15% | ||
| Dayton Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (11‑2) vs VCU (9‑4) |
0 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 15% | ||
| VCU Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||