PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Jan 27 3:30 am

Atlantic Hockey - Week 18 of 22

RIT What If?

The RIT Tigers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how RIT plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

RIT What If?

Next Game - Holy Cross (7‑14‑3)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 13 1 2 1 43 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 12 1 2 1 40 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 12 2 2 1 40 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Current Series - Holy Cross (7‑14‑3) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
RIT Sweeps 14 1 2 1 46 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 12 1 2 1 40 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Holy Cross Sweeps 12 3 2 1 40 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Current Standings 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
10 of 10 100% 22 1 2 1 70 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 21 2 2 1 67 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 20 3 2 1 64 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 19 4 2 1 61 97% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 10 60% 18 5 2 1 58 87% 13% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 10 50% 17 6 2 1 55 70% 30% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 10 40% 16 7 2 1 52 45% 54% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 10 30% 15 8 2 1 49 16% 70% 14% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
2 of 10 20% 14 9 2 1 46 2% 43% 42% 12% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
1 of 10 10% 13 10 2 1 43 <1% 8% 34% 40% 16% 2% <1% <1% ^
0 of 10 0% 12 11 2 1 40 <1% <1% 5% 23% 45% 24% 3% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament