The RIT Tigers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how RIT plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 96% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 94% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| RIT Sweeps | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 94% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Holy Cross Sweeps | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 84% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Current Standings | 94% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 10 of 10 | 100% | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 70 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 10 | 90% | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 10 | 80% | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 64 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 10 | 70% | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 10 | 60% | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 87% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 10 | 50% | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 70% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 10 | 40% | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 45% | 54% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 10 | 30% | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 49 | 16% | 70% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 10 | 20% | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 2% | 43% | 42% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 10 | 10% | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 43 | <1% | 8% | 34% | 40% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 10 | 0% | 12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 45% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% |