The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Central Arkansas (2‑7) vs Eastern Kentucky (5‑5) |
19 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 43% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (3‑7) vs West Georgia (1‑10) |
1 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 41% | ||
| Lipscomb (6‑4) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (5‑5) |
1 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Queens U. (5‑5) vs Stetson (1‑8) |
1 | Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 42% | ||
| North Alabama (7‑4) vs Bellarmine (3‑7) |
1 | North Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 42% | ||
| North Florida (6‑4) vs Austin Peay (4‑5) |
1 | North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 40% | ||