The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Central Arkansas (7‑10) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (6‑11) |
46 | Central Arkansas Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 14% | ||
| Austin Peay (10‑5) vs Eastern Kentucky (6‑11) |
3 | Austin Peay Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Queens U. (9‑8) vs Fla Gulf Coast (7‑10) |
3 | Queens U. Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| North Florida (2‑15) vs North Alabama (6‑9) |
1 | North Florida Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Lipscomb (10‑7) vs Bellarmine (6‑10) |
1 | Lipscomb Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| West Georgia (9‑7) vs Stetson (6‑11) |
1 | West Georgia Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| Stetson Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10% | ||