PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Dec 10 10:45 pm

Atlantic Sun Basketball - Week 6 of 17

Central Arkansas Bears Standings

Where are the Central Arkansas Bears going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Central Arkansas standings table presents the probabilities of the Bears winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic Sun Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
Lipscomb 0i
Lipscomb Recent Games

Won  Sun, Nov 24 vs Jackson St.    77-53 
Won  Sat, Nov 30 @  Alabama A&M    82-44 
Won  Tue, Dec 03 @  Chattan.       80-62 
Won  Thu, Dec 05 vs SE Missouri St.  78-60 
     Mon, Dec 16 vs Truett-McConnell 
     Thu, Dec 19 @  Middle Tenn.  
     Sun, Dec 29 vs Asbury        
     Thu, Jan 02 @  Jack.ville    

0 0 25% 18% 14% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1%
North Florida 0
North Florida Recent Games

Won  Fri, Nov 29 @  SIU Ed.ville   78-73 
Lost Sun, Dec 01 @  Nebraska       72-103
Won  Thu, Dec 05 vs Warner        115-83 
Lost Sat, Dec 07 @  Georgia Southern  91-93 
     Sat, Dec 14 vs NC Greensb.   
     Tue, Dec 17 @  NC Ashvlle    
     Sat, Dec 21 @  Florida       
     Thu, Jan 02 vs Austin Peay   

0 0 20% 16% 14% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2%
JacksonvilleJack.ville 0
Jacksonville Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 26 @  Siena          75-64 
Lost Sat, Nov 30 @  Georgia        56-102
Won  Thu, Dec 05 vs Florida Tech   88-67 
Lost Tue, Dec 10 @  Florida At.    63-85 
     Sat, Dec 14 vs E. Tennessee St. 
     Sat, Dec 21 @  UCF           
     Thu, Jan 02 vs Lipscomb      
     Sat, Jan 04 vs Austin Peay   

0 0 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3%
Eastern Kentucky 0
Eastern Kentucky Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 26 @  Southern Illinois  77-72 
Lost Wed, Nov 27 @  Louisiana Tech  69-78 
Lost Sun, Dec 01 @  Troy           74-84 
Won  Fri, Dec 06 vs Camp. Harrodsburg  98-62 
     Wed, Dec 11 @  Pittsburgh    
     Sat, Dec 14 vs Eastern Illinois 
     Sat, Dec 21 vs Jacksonville St. 
     Sat, Dec 28 @  Louisville    

0 0 10% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5%
Austin Peay 0
Austin Peay Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 26 vs Georgia St.    62-50 
Lost Wed, Nov 27 vs UT Arlington   58-68 
Lost Sat, Nov 30 @  E. Tennessee St.  57-79 
Lost Sun, Dec 08 @  Samford        47-72 
     Sat, Dec 14 vs Southern Illinois 
     Wed, Dec 18 @  Ohio          
     Sat, Dec 21 @  Vanderbilt    
     Sun, Dec 29 vs Brescia       

0 0 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6%
North Alabama 0
North Alabama Recent Games

Lost Sun, Nov 24 @  NWestrn St     58-71 
Won  Wed, Nov 27 vs Dalton St.    100-69 
Lost Sun, Dec 01 @  Wofford        54-74 
Won  Wed, Dec 04 vs Tennessee Tech  82-59 
     Wed, Dec 11 @  E. Carolina   
     Thu, Dec 19 vs Charleston Southern 
     Sun, Dec 22 @  Loyola Marymount 
     Thu, Jan 02 vs Bellarmine    

0 0 9% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6%
Fla Gulf Coast 0
Fla Gulf Coast Recent Games

Won  Sun, Nov 24 vs FIU            60-59 
Won  Sat, Nov 30 @  Florida At.    80-78 
Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs Furman         73-76 
Lost Sun, Dec 08 @  LSU            71-80 
     Wed, Dec 18 @  UNC Wilmington 
     Sun, Dec 22 vs Florida Tech  
     Sat, Dec 28 @  Richmond      
     Thu, Jan 02 @  W. Georgia    

0 0 7% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7%
Queens U. 0
Queens U. Recent Games

Lost Sun, Nov 24 @  E. Tennessee St.  67-82 
Lost Tue, Dec 03 vs Winthrop       78-86 
Won  Sat, Dec 07 @  VMI            81-78 
Won  Tue, Dec 10 vs CarolinaU      91-53 
     Sat, Dec 14 @  Gardner-Webb  
     Wed, Dec 18 vs Mercer        
     Sat, Dec 21 @  Ole Miss      
     Thu, Jan 02 vs Stetson       

0 0 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 9%
West Georgia 0
West Georgia Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 27 @  North Dakota St.  61-73 
Lost Fri, Nov 29 @  Samford        65-86 
Lost Wed, Dec 04 @  Mercer         72-86 
Won  Sat, Dec 07 vs Tennessee Tech  78-73 
     Tue, Dec 17 @  Charlotte     
     Sat, Dec 21 vs Brewton-Parker 
     Thu, Jan 02 vs Fla GC        
     Sat, Jan 04 vs Stetson       

0 0 <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15% 36%
Bellarmine 0
Bellarmine Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 26 vs Midway        101-60 
Lost Sat, Nov 30 @  Northern Kentucky  70-86 
Lost Wed, Dec 04 @  Western Carolina  74-86 
Won  Sat, Dec 07 vs Brescia        94-66 
     Sat, Dec 14 vs Ball State    
     Thu, Dec 19 @  Wyoming       
     Sat, Dec 21 @  Colorado      
     Thu, Jan 02 @  N Alabama     

0 0 <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 13% 15% 37%
 
Central Arkansas 0
Central Arkansas Recent Games

Won  Sun, Nov 24 vs NC Ashvlle     92-83 
Lost Sat, Nov 30 @  Georgia Tech   68-87 
Lost Wed, Dec 04 @  UALR           57-63 
Lost Sat, Dec 07 @  AR Pine Bluff  78-84 
     Sat, Dec 14 @  Arkansas      
     Mon, Dec 16 vs Citadel       
     Sun, Dec 22 @  Oklahoma      
     Thu, Jan 02 vs E. Kentucky   

0 0 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 13% 15% 39%
Stetson 0
Stetson Recent Games

Lost Fri, Nov 22 vs E. Carolina    64-71 
Lost Sat, Nov 23 vs La Salle       77-92 
Lost Tue, Dec 03 @  S. Florida     72-74 
Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs Mercer         83-89 
     Sat, Dec 14 vs FIU           
     Tue, Dec 17 @  LSU           
     Sun, Dec 22 vs Fort Lauderdale 
     Sun, Dec 29 @  Florida       

0 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 17% 50%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes 1st round bye and 2nd home court advantage in the conference tournament
  • ** denotes 1st round bye in the conference tournament


(11) Bears 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 14%
(10)Bellarmine 0 0 7%
(9)West Georgia 0 0 6%
(12)Stetson 0 0 6%
(8)Queens U. 0 0 5%
(7)Fla Gulf Coast 0 0 4%
(5)Austin Peay 0 0 4%
(6)North Alabama 0 0 4%
(4)Eastern Kentucky 0 0 4%
(3)JacksonvilleJack.ville 0 0 3%
(2)North Florida 0 0 2%
(1)Lipscomb 0 0 2%
Elimination 39%



Bears Conference Schedule
Current Week 6
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Eastern Kentucky
(5‑4)
  Home Thu Jan 2, 8:30 pm
9 Bellarmine
(3‑7)
  Home Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm
10 Stetson
(1‑8)
  Away Thu Jan 9, 7:00 pm
10 Fla Gulf Coast
(3‑7)
  Away Sat Jan 11, 2:00 pm
11 North Florida
(6‑4)
  Away Thu Jan 16, 7:00 pm
11 JacksonvilleJack.ville
(5‑5)
  Away Sat Jan 18, 3:00 pm
12 Austin Peay
(4‑5)
  Home Thu Jan 23, 1:00 am
12 Lipscomb
(6‑4)
  Home Sat Jan 25, TBD
13 West Georgia
(1‑10)
  Home Wed Jan 29, 12:01 am
13 North Alabama
(6‑4)
  Away Sat Feb 1, 8:45 pm
14 Queens U.
(5‑5)
  Home Wed Feb 5, TBD
14 Austin Peay
(4‑5)
  Away Sat Feb 8, 1:00 am
15 JacksonvilleJack.ville
(5‑5)
  Home Thu Feb 13, 6:30 pm
15 North Florida
(6‑4)
  Home Sat Feb 15, TBD
16 Queens U.
(5‑5)
  Away Tue Feb 18, 7:00 pm
16 West Georgia
(1‑10)
  Away Thu Feb 20, 12:01 am
17 North Alabama
(6‑4)
  Home Mon Feb 24, TBD
17 Lipscomb
(6‑4)
  Away Wed Feb 26, 8:00 pm


Bears Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 BYU
(6‑2)
Big 12Big 12 50‑88 Away Tue Nov 5, 9:00 pm
1 Utah
(6‑2)
Big 12Big 12 63‑98 Away Thu Nov 7, 10:30 pm
2 Randall ‑‑ 108‑49 Home Wed Nov 13, 7:30 pm
2 Western Illinois
(6‑4)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 61‑63 Away Sat Nov 16, 2:00 pm
3 SE Missouri St.
(3‑6)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 73‑77 (OT) Home Thu Nov 21, 7:30 pm
3 N.C. Asheville
(4‑4)
Big SouthBig South 92‑83 (OT) Home Sun Nov 24, 2:00 pm
4 Georgia Tech
(4‑5)
ACCACC 68‑87 Away Sat Nov 30, 1:00 pm
5 UALR
(6‑4)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 57‑63 Away Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm
5 AR Pine Bluff
(2‑8)
SouthwesternSWAC 78‑84 Away Sat Dec 7, 7:00 pm
6 Arkansas
(7‑2)
SECSEC   Away Sat Dec 14, 4:00 pm
7 Citadel
(5‑3)
SouthernSouthern   Home Mon Dec 16, TBD
7 Oklahoma
(9‑0)
SECSEC   Away Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm