PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Atlantic Sun Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Fla Gulf Coast What If?

The Fla Gulf Coast Eagles What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Fla Gulf Coast plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fla Gulf Coast What If?

Next Game - North Florida (10‑14)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 NT
Win Next Game 5 8 X <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 17% 20% 20% 20%
Current Standings 4 8 X <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 17% 19% 35%
Lose Next Game 4 9 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 7% 13% 20% 55%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 NT
Best Case Scenario X <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 18% 20% 17% 19%
Current Standings X <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 17% 19% 35%
Worst Case Scenario X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 11% 18% 60%
Best Case Scenario
   Stetson beats Jacksonville
   Fla Gulf Coast beats North Florida
   Austin Peay beats North Alabama
Worst Case Scenario
   Jacksonville beats Stetson
   North Florida beats Fla Gulf Coast
   North Alabama beats Austin Peay
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 NT
6 of 6 100% 10 8 X <1% <1% 16% 33% 31% 16% 3% <1% <1% ^
5 of 6 83% 9 9 X X <1% <1% 4% 17% 32% 33% 13% 1% <1%
4 of 6 67% 8 10 X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 39% 26% 5%
3 of 6 50% 7 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 37% 46%
2 of 6 33% 6 12 X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
1 of 6 17% 5 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 6 0% 4 14 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye and home court advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament