The Fla Gulf Coast Eagles What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Fla Gulf Coast plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 55% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 19% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 35% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 60% |
|
Best Case Scenario Stetson beats Jacksonville Fla Gulf Coast beats North Florida Austin Peay beats North Alabama |
Worst Case Scenario Jacksonville beats Stetson North Florida beats Fla Gulf Coast North Alabama beats Austin Peay |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 10 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | 16% | 33% | 31% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 32% | 33% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 39% | 26% | 5% |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 37% | 46% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |