The Most Important Games for the North Alabama Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Alabama Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Alabama Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Alabama (14‑11) vs Austin Peay (8‑17) |
26 | North Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (16‑9) vs Queens U. (16‑9) |
7 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Liberty (19‑6) vs Bellarmine (11‑14) |
5 | Liberty Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Central Arkansas (8‑17) vs Lipscomb (15‑10) |
5 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Lipscomb Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Stetson (13‑10) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (12‑11) |
2 | Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 4% | ||
| North Florida (10‑14) vs Fla Gulf Coast (14‑11) |
0 | North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (10‑15) vs Kennesaw St. (18‑7) |
0 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||