The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (7‑0) vs Ohio State (2‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
33 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 51% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 30% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑4) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 51% | 26% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (2‑4) vs Minnesota (2‑3‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 48% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 48% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (7‑0) vs Ohio State (2‑4) |
17 | Michigan Wins | 49% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | 41% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑4) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) |
3 | Notre Dame Wins | 49% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (2‑4) vs Minnesota (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Penn State Wins | 47% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 47% | 28% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||