PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Feb 4 11:45 pm

Big 10 Hockey - Week 20 of 22

Michigan What If?

The Michigan Wolverines What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Michigan plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Michigan What If?

Next Game - Michigan State (15‑13‑2)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 9 2 2 6 33 <1% 68% 23% 6% 2% 1% ^
Current Standings 8 2 2 6 30 <1% 56% 24% 10% 7% 3% ^
Lose Next Game 8 3 2 6 30 <1% 41% 27% 16% 12% 4% ^


Current Series - Michigan State (15‑13‑2) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Michigan Sweeps 10 2 2 6 36 <1% 74% 22% 3% <1% ^ ^
Current Standings 8 2 2 6 30 <1% 56% 24% 10% 7% 3% ^
Michigan State Sweeps 8 4 2 6 30 X 14% 29% 26% 23% 8% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Best Case Scenario <1% 68% 23% 6% 2% 1% ^
Current Standings <1% 56% 24% 10% 7% 3% ^
Worst Case Scenario <1% 41% 27% 16% 12% 4% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Michigan beats Michigan State
Worst Case Scenario
   Michigan State beats Michigan
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
6 of 6 100% 14 2 2 6 48 2% 98% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 13 3 2 6 45 <1% 98% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 12 4 2 6 42 X 82% 18% ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 11 5 2 6 39 X 38% 50% 12% 1% ^ ^
2 of 6 33% 10 6 2 6 36 X 1% 23% 47% 29% 1% ^
1 of 6 17% 9 7 2 6 33 X X <1% 8% 47% 45% ^
0 of 6 0% 8 8 2 6 30 X X X X 2% 98% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye home field advantage in the post season conference tournament