The Most Important Games for the Northwestern Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Nebraska (8‑0) vs Wisconsin (7‑2) |
2 | Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Penn State (8‑1) vs Indiana (7‑2) |
2 | Penn State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Rutgers (5‑4) vs Michigan (6‑0) |
2 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Illinois (6‑2) vs Ohio St. (7‑1) |
1 | Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota (5‑4) vs Purdue (8‑1) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Washington (5‑3) vs USC (8‑0) |
1 | Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| USC Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Maryland (6‑2) vs Iowa (7‑1) |
1 | Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Oregon (4‑4) vs UCLA (6‑2) |
0 | Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||