The Most Important Games for the Northwestern Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Minnesota (5‑2) vs Ohio St. (6‑1) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | 27% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 27% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (4‑4) vs Penn State (4‑4) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 27% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 27% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (5‑2) vs Purdue (7‑1) |
1 | Iowa Wins | 27% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (4‑3) vs Wisconsin (6‑2) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 27% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 27% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (6‑1) vs Michigan (4‑4) |
0 | Indiana Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 28% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||