The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan (9‑2) vs Ohio St. (11‑0) |
0 | Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (6‑5) vs Wisconsin (4‑7) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 24% | 28% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 9% | 22% | 56% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. (5‑6) vs Rutgers (5‑6) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 66% | 21% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 24% | 71% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (8‑3) vs Oregon (10‑1) |
0 | Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑8) vs Maryland (4‑7) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 30% | 26% | 39% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 30% | 20% | 40% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois (7‑4) vs NorthwesternN. Western (6‑5) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC (8‑3) vs UCLA (3‑8) |
0 | USC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 28% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 29% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 34% | 23% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ||