PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Sep 23 11:45 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 5 of 13

Penn St. Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Penn St. Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Penn St. Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Division Winner No Playoffs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Penn St.
(4‑0)

vs
NorthwesternN. Western
(2‑2)
10 Penn St. Wins 29% 24% 19% 14% 9% 4% 1%
Current Probabilities 26% 22% 18% 15% 10% 6% 2%
NorthwesternN. Western Wins 19% 21% 19% 17% 13% 7% 3%
Nebraska
(2‑2)

vs
Michigan
(4‑0)
3 Nebraska Wins 29% 22% 17% 14% 10% 6% 2%
Current Probabilities 26% 22% 18% 15% 10% 6% 2%
Michigan Wins 26% 23% 19% 15% 11% 6% 2%
Indiana
(2‑2)

vs
Maryland
(4‑0)
1 Indiana Wins 28% 22% 18% 13% 10% 6% 2%
Current Probabilities 26% 22% 18% 15% 10% 6% 2%
Maryland Wins 27% 22% 19% 14% 10% 6% 2%
Michigan St.
(2‑2)

vs
Iowa
(3‑1)
0 Michigan St. Wins 27% 22% 17% 15% 11% 6% 3%
Current Probabilities 26% 22% 18% 15% 10% 6% 2%
Iowa Wins 26% 23% 18% 15% 11% 5% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot