The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Penn St. (3‑3) vs Iowa (4‑2) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 26% | ||
| Minnesota (4‑2) vs Nebraska (5‑1) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Michigan (4‑2) vs Washington (5‑1) |
0 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 22% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (4‑2) vs Purdue (2‑4) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Indiana (6‑0) vs Michigan St. (3‑3) |
0 | Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 24% | ||
| Wisconsin (2‑4) vs Ohio St. (6‑0) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Rutgers (3‑3) vs Oregon (5‑1) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 22% | ||
| UCLA (2‑4) vs Maryland (4‑2) |
0 | UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||
| Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | ||