The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Penn St. (4‑0) vs NorthwesternN. Western (2‑2) |
10 | Penn St. Wins | 29% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 19% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Nebraska (2‑2) vs Michigan (4‑0) |
3 | Nebraska Wins | 29% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 26% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Indiana (2‑2) vs Maryland (4‑0) |
1 | Indiana Wins | 28% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 27% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Michigan St. (2‑2) vs Iowa (3‑1) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 27% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 26% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% | ||