Are the Penn St. Nittany Lions going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Penn St. standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Oregon | 1i Oregon Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Montana State 59-13 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Oklahoma St. 69-3 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ N. Western 34-14 Sat, Sep 20 vs Oregon St. Sat, Sep 27 @ Penn St. Sat, Oct 11 vs Indiana Sat, Oct 18 @ Rutgers |
0 | 1 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| USC | 1 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Missouri St. 73-13 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Ga. Southern 59-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Purdue 33-17 Sat, Sep 20 vs Michigan St. Sat, Sep 27 @ Illinois Sat, Oct 11 vs Michigan Sat, Oct 18 @ Notre Dame |
0 | 1 | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ohio St. | 0 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Texas 14-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Grambling 70-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Ohio 37-9 Sat, Sep 27 @ Wash. Sat, Oct 04 vs Minnesota Sat, Oct 11 @ Illinois Sat, Oct 18 @ Wisconsin |
0 | 0 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Nebraska | 0 Nebraska Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 @ Cincinnati 20-17 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Akron 68-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Houston Christian 59-7 Sat, Sep 20 vs Michigan Sat, Oct 04 vs Michigan St. Sat, Oct 11 @ Maryland Fri, Oct 17 @ Minnesota |
0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Indiana | 0 Indiana Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Old Dominion 27-14 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Kennesaw St. 56-9 Won Fri, Sep 12 vs Indiana State 73-0 Sat, Sep 20 vs Illinois Sat, Sep 27 @ Iowa Sat, Oct 11 @ Oregon Sat, Oct 18 vs Michigan St. |
0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Penn St. | 0 Penn St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Nevada 46-11 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Florida Intl. 34-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Villanova 52-6 Sat, Sep 27 vs Oregon Sat, Oct 04 @ UCLA Sat, Oct 11 vs N. Western Sat, Oct 18 @ Iowa |
0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Illinois | 0 Illinois Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 29 vs Western Illinois 52-3 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Duke 45-19 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs W. Michigan 38-0 Sat, Sep 20 @ Indiana Sat, Sep 27 vs USC Sat, Oct 04 @ Purdue Sat, Oct 11 vs Ohio St. |
0 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Maryland | 0 Maryland Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Florida Atlantic 39-7 Won Fri, Sep 05 vs N. Illinois 20-9 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Towson 44-17 Sat, Sep 20 @ Wisconsin Sat, Oct 04 vs Wash. Sat, Oct 11 vs Nebraska Sat, Oct 18 @ UCLA |
0 | 0 | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Washington | 0 Washington Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Colorado St. 38-21 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UC Davis 70-10 Sat, Sep 20 @ Wash. St. Sat, Sep 27 vs Ohio St. Sat, Oct 04 @ Maryland Fri, Oct 10 vs Rutgers |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Rutgers | 0 Rutgers Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Ohio 34-31 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Miami OH 45-17 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Norfolk State 60-10 Fri, Sep 19 vs Iowa Sat, Sep 27 @ Minnesota Fri, Oct 10 @ Wash. Sat, Oct 18 vs Oregon |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Michigan St. | 0 Michigan St. Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 29 vs W. Michigan 23-6 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Boston College 42-40 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Youngstown State 41-24 Sat, Sep 20 @ USC Sat, Oct 04 @ Nebraska Sat, Oct 11 vs UCLA Sat, Oct 18 @ Indiana |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Michigan | 0 Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs New Mexico 34-17 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Oklahoma 13-24 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs C. Michigan 63-3 Sat, Sep 20 @ Nebraska Sat, Oct 04 vs Wisconsin Sat, Oct 11 @ USC Sat, Oct 18 vs Wash. |
0 | 0 | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Minnesota | 0 Minnesota Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Buffalo 23-10 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northwestern State 66-0 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ California 14-27 Sat, Sep 27 vs Rutgers Sat, Oct 04 @ Ohio St. Sat, Oct 11 vs Purdue Fri, Oct 17 vs Nebraska |
0 | 0 | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Wisconsin | 0 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Miami OH 17-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Middle Tenn. St. 42-10 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Alabama 14-38 Sat, Sep 20 vs Maryland Sat, Oct 04 @ Michigan Sat, Oct 11 vs Iowa Sat, Oct 18 vs Ohio St. |
0 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Iowa | 0 Iowa Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs UAlbany 34-7 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Iowa St. 13-16 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs UMass 47-7 Fri, Sep 19 @ Rutgers Sat, Sep 27 vs Indiana Sat, Oct 11 @ Wisconsin Sat, Oct 18 vs Penn St. |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| UCLA | 0 UCLA Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs Utah 10-43 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ UNLV 23-30 Lost Fri, Sep 12 vs New Mexico 10-35 Sat, Sep 27 @ N. Western Sat, Oct 04 vs Penn St. Sat, Oct 11 @ Michigan St. Sat, Oct 18 vs Maryland |
0 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 27% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 0 Northwestern Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Tulane 3-23 Won Fri, Sep 05 vs Western Illinois 42-7 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Oregon 14-34 Sat, Sep 27 vs UCLA Sat, Oct 04 vs LA Monroe Sat, Oct 11 @ Penn St. Sat, Oct 18 vs Purdue |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% |
| Purdue | 0 Purdue Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Ball State 31-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Southern Illinois 34-17 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs USC 17-33 Sat, Sep 20 @ Notre Dame Sat, Oct 04 vs Illinois Sat, Oct 11 @ Minnesota Sat, Oct 18 @ N. Western |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)USC | 1 | 0 | 3% |
| (8)Maryland | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (7)Illinois | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (9)Washington | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (1)Oregon | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| (12)Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (3)Ohio St. | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (4)Nebraska | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (5)Indiana | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (10)Rutgers | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (14)Wisconsin | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (13)Minnesota | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (11)Michigan St. | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (18)Purdue | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (15)Iowa | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (17)NorthwesternN. Western | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (16)UCLA | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | 86% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oregon (3‑0) |
Home | Sat Sep 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 6 | UCLA (0‑3) |
Away | Sat Oct 4, TBD | |
| 7 | NorthwesternN. Western (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Oct 11, TBD | |
| 8 | Iowa (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 18, TBD | |
| 10 | Ohio St. (3‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 11 | Indiana (3‑0) |
Home | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 12 | Michigan St. (3‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 15, TBD | |
| 13 | Nebraska (3‑0) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Rutgers (3‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nevada (1‑2) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 46‑11 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 3:30 pm |
| 2 | Florida Intl. (2‑1) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 34‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Villanova | ‑‑ | 52‑6 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |