The Penn St. Nittany Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Penn St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 29% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 26% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 19% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 29% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 26% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 19% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Penn St. beats Northwestern |
Worst Case Scenario Northwestern beats Penn St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 8 | 1 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 7 | 2 | 39% | 48% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 6 | 3 | 5% | 32% | 44% | 17% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 5 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 23% | 45% | 24% | 3% | <1% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 46% | 30% | 4% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 3 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 16% | 55% | 28% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 2 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 78% |