The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| BYU (8‑0) vs Texas Tech (8‑1) |
5 | BYU Wins | 15% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 7% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCF (4‑4) vs Houston (7‑2) |
2 | UCF Wins | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. (5‑4) vs TCU (6‑2) |
1 | Iowa St. Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona (5‑3) vs Kansas (5‑4) |
0 | Arizona Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Virginia (3‑6) vs Colorado (3‑6) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado Wins | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||