The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Cincinnati (5‑3) vs Houston (6‑2) |
1 | Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Houston Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 1% | ||
| West Virginia (5‑3) vs Texas Tech (7‑1) |
1 | West Virginia Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Utah (8‑0) vs BYU (7‑1) |
1 | Utah Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| BYU Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Kansas St. (4‑4) vs Oklahoma St. (5‑3) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| TCU (4‑4) vs Arizona (6‑2) |
0 | TCU Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Kansas (3‑5) vs UCF (4‑4) |
0 | Kansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| UCF Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Iowa St. (4‑4) vs Baylor (5‑3) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Baylor Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Colorado (3‑5) vs Arizona St. (4‑4) |
0 | Colorado Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||