Are the TCU Horned Frogs going to play in the Conference Championship game? The TCU standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| BYU | 3i BYU Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ East Carolina 34-13 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Colorado 24-21 Won Fri, Oct 03 vs West Virginia 38-24 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Arizona 33-27 Sat, Oct 18 vs Utah Sat, Oct 25 @ Iowa St. Sat, Nov 08 @ Texas Tech Sat, Nov 15 vs TCU |
0 | 3 | 25% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Texas Tech | 3 Texas Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Oregon St. 45-14 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Utah 34-10 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Houston 35-11 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Kansas 42-17 Sat, Oct 18 @ Arizona St. Sat, Oct 25 vs Oklahoma St. Sat, Nov 01 @ Kansas St. Sat, Nov 08 vs BYU |
0 | 3 | 42% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Cincinnati | 3 Cincinnati Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Northwestern State 70-0 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Kansas 37-34 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Iowa St. 38-30 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs UCF 20-11 Sat, Oct 18 @ Oklahoma St. Sat, Oct 25 vs Baylor Sat, Nov 01 @ Utah Sat, Nov 15 vs Arizona |
0 | 3 | 18% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Utah | 2 Utah Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Wyoming 31-6 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Texas Tech 10-34 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ West Virginia 48-14 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Arizona St. 42-10 Sat, Oct 18 @ BYU Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado Sat, Nov 01 vs Cincinnati Sat, Nov 15 @ Baylor |
1 | 3 | 5% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona St. | 2 Arizona St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Texas St. 34-15 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Baylor 27-24 Won Fri, Sep 26 vs TCU 27-24 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Utah 10-42 Sat, Oct 18 vs Texas Tech Sat, Oct 25 vs Houston Sat, Nov 01 @ Iowa St. Sat, Nov 15 vs West Virginia |
1 | 3 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Houston | 2 Houston Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 12 vs Colorado 36-20 Won Fri, Sep 26 @ Oregon St. 27-24 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Texas Tech 11-35 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Oklahoma St. 39-17 Sat, Oct 18 vs Arizona Sat, Oct 25 @ Arizona St. Sat, Nov 01 vs West Virginia Fri, Nov 07 @ UCF |
1 | 3 | 3% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Baylor | 2 Baylor Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Samford 42-7 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Arizona St. 24-27 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Oklahoma St. 45-27 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Kansas St. 35-34 Sat, Oct 18 @ TCU Sat, Oct 25 @ Cincinnati Sat, Nov 01 vs UCF Sat, Nov 15 vs Utah |
1 | 3 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Iowa St. | 2 Iowa St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Arkansas St. 24-16 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Arizona 39-14 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Cincinnati 30-38 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Colorado 17-24 Sat, Oct 25 vs BYU Sat, Nov 01 vs Arizona St. Sat, Nov 08 @ TCU Sat, Nov 22 vs Kansas |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Kansas | 2 Kansas Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs West Virginia 41-10 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Cincinnati 34-37 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ UCF 27-20 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Texas Tech 17-42 Sat, Oct 25 vs Kansas St. Sat, Nov 01 vs Oklahoma St. Sat, Nov 08 @ Arizona Sat, Nov 22 @ Iowa St. |
2 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Kansas St. | 2 Kansas St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 12 @ Arizona 17-23 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs UCF 34-20 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Baylor 34-35 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs TCU 41-28 Sat, Oct 25 @ Kansas Sat, Nov 01 vs Texas Tech Sat, Nov 15 @ Oklahoma St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Utah |
2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| TCU | 1 TCU Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs SMU 35-24 Lost Fri, Sep 26 @ Arizona St. 24-27 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Colorado 35-21 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Kansas St. 28-41 Sat, Oct 18 vs Baylor Sat, Oct 25 @ West Virginia Sat, Nov 08 vs Iowa St. Sat, Nov 15 @ BYU |
2 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Arizona | 1 Arizona Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 12 vs Kansas St. 23-17 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Iowa St. 14-39 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Oklahoma St. 41-13 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs BYU 27-33 Sat, Oct 18 @ Houston Sat, Nov 01 @ Colorado Sat, Nov 08 vs Kansas Sat, Nov 15 @ Cincinnati |
2 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 2% |
| Colorado | 1 Colorado Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Wyoming 37-20 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs BYU 21-24 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ TCU 21-35 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Iowa St. 24-17 Sat, Oct 25 @ Utah Sat, Nov 01 vs Arizona Sat, Nov 08 @ West Virginia Sat, Nov 22 vs Arizona St. |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 4% |
| UCF | 0 UCF Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs North Carolina 34-9 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Kansas St. 20-34 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Kansas 20-27 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Cincinnati 11-20 Sat, Oct 18 vs West Virginia Sat, Nov 01 @ Baylor Fri, Nov 07 vs Houston Sat, Nov 15 @ Texas Tech |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 18% |
| West Virginia | 0 West Virginia Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Pittsburgh 31-24 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Kansas 10-41 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Utah 14-48 Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ BYU 24-38 Sat, Oct 18 @ UCF Sat, Oct 25 vs TCU Sat, Nov 01 @ Houston Sat, Nov 08 vs Colorado |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 24% |
| Oklahoma St. | 0 Oklahoma St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 19 vs Tulsa 12-19 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Baylor 27-45 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Arizona 13-41 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Houston 17-39 Sat, Oct 18 vs Cincinnati Sat, Oct 25 @ Texas Tech Sat, Nov 01 @ Kansas Sat, Nov 15 vs Kansas St. |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 23% | 45% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Texas Tech | 3 | 0 | 1% |
| (1)BYU | 3 | 0 | <1% |
| (4)Utah | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Cincinnati | 3 | 0 | <1% |
| (5)Arizona St. | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (9)Kansas | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (6)Houston | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (7)Baylor | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (12)Arizona | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (8)Iowa St. | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (13)Colorado | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (10)Kansas St. | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (14)UCF | 0 | 3 | <1% |
| (15)West Virginia | 0 | 3 | <1% |
| (16)Oklahoma St. | 0 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 98% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arizona St. (4‑2) |
24‑27 | Away | Fri Sep 26, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Colorado (3‑4) |
35‑21 | Home | Sat Oct 4, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Kansas St. (3‑4) |
28‑41 | Away | Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm |
| 8 | Baylor (4‑2) |
Home | Sat Oct 18, 12:00 pm | |
| 9 | West Virginia (2‑4) |
Away | Sat Oct 25, TBD | |
| 11 | Iowa St. (5‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 12 | BYU (6‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 15, TBD | |
| 13 | Houston (5‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Cincinnati (5‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Carolina (2‑3) |
ACCACC | 48‑14 | Away | Mon Sep 1, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Abilene Christian | ‑‑ | 42‑21 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SMU (4‑2) |
ACCACC | 35‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 20, 12:00 pm |