The Iowa St. Cyclones What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Iowa St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 5% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 5% |
|
Best Case Scenario Iowa St. beats Oklahoma |
Worst Case Scenario Oklahoma beats Iowa St. |
|||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 8 | 1 | 73% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 7 | 2 | 17% | 41% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 6 | 3 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 5 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 31% | 30% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 28% | 33% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 35% | 18% | 3% | <1% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 2 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 18% | 40% | 32% | 8% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 1 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 44% | 43% |