The Kansas St. Wildcats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Kansas St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 7% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 6% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 1% | 7% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Best Case Scenario | 14% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 6% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 6% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Kansas St. beats Kansas TCU beats Texas Tech UCF beats BYU |
Worst Case Scenario Kansas beats Kansas St. Texas Tech beats TCU BYU beats UCF |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 8 | 1 | 30% | 59% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 7 | 2 | 4% | 25% | 48% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 5 | 60% | 6 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 34% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 5 | 40% | 5 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 31% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
1 of 5 | 20% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 30% | 28% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 5 | 0% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 29% | 24% | 11% | 2% | <1% |