The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (6‑2) vs Iowa St. (5‑4) |
5 | TCU Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech (8‑1) vs BYU (8‑0) |
1 | Texas Tech Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF (4‑4) vs Houston (7‑2) |
0 | UCF Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas (5‑4) vs Arizona (5‑3) |
0 | Kansas Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (3‑6) vs West Virginia (3‑6) |
0 | Colorado Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||