The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Arizona (7‑3) vs Baylor (5‑5) |
0 | Arizona Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 34% | 27% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Baylor Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati (7‑3) vs BYU (9‑1) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| BYU Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Colorado (3‑7) vs Arizona St. (7‑3) |
0 | Colorado Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 28% | 21% | 18% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 28% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU (6‑4) vs Houston (8‑2) |
0 | TCU Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 28% | 14% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Houston Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 30% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. (6‑4) vs Kansas (5‑5) |
0 | Iowa St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 35% | 21% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Kansas Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 34% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah (8‑2) vs Kansas St. (5‑5) |
0 | Utah Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UCF (4‑6) vs Oklahoma St. (1‑9) |
0 | UCF Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 28% | 25% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||