The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Kansas (5‑6) vs Utah (9‑2) |
0 | Kansas Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 20% | 19% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 44% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. (8‑3) vs Arizona (8‑3) |
0 | Arizona St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 7% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 6% | 33% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 19% | 8% | 13% | 44% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BYU (10‑1) vs UCF (5‑6) |
0 | BYU Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCF Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Baylor (5‑6) vs Houston (8‑3) |
0 | Baylor Wins | X | X | X | X | 10% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 26% | 8% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 16% | 16% | 9% | 45% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. (5‑6) vs Colorado (3‑8) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 46% | 5% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 26% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU (7‑4) vs Cincinnati (7‑4) |
0 | TCU Wins | X | X | X | X | 6% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 12% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 76% | 15% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Virginia (4‑7) vs Texas Tech (10‑1) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. (1‑10) vs Iowa St. (7‑4) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 14% | 17% | 20% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 4% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 38% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 40% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||