The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (6‑3) vs BYU (8‑1) |
0 | TCU Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona (6‑3) vs Cincinnati (7‑2) |
0 | Arizona Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia (4‑6) vs Arizona St. (6‑3) |
0 | West Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF (4‑5) vs Texas Tech (9‑1) |
0 | UCF Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Baylor (5‑4) vs Utah (7‑2) |
0 | Baylor Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (1‑8) vs Kansas St. (4‑5) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||