The Most Important Games for the TCU Horned Frogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Horned Frogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. TCU Horned Frogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
TCU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| TCU (5‑2) vs West Virginia (2‑5) |
3 | TCU Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (1‑6) vs Texas Tech (6‑1) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Baylor (4‑3) vs Cincinnati (6‑1) |
1 | Baylor Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. (5‑2) vs BYU (7‑0) |
1 | Iowa St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Houston (6‑1) vs Arizona St. (5‑2) |
1 | Houston Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (3‑4) vs Utah (5‑2) |
0 | Colorado Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Utah Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. (3‑4) vs Kansas (4‑3) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||