The UCF Knights What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how UCF plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 26% | 16% | 7% | 1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 30% | 20% | 17% | 9% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 34% | 24% | 22% | 13% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 30% | 20% | 17% | 9% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 32% | 19% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 46% | 32% | 9% | 1% | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 17% | 46% | 30% | 1% |