The West Virginia Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how West Virginia plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario West Virginia beats Iowa St. |
Worst Case Scenario Iowa St. beats West Virginia |
|||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 87% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 8 | 1 | 45% | 40% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 7 | 2 | 6% | 24% | 37% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 6 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 33% | 24% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 5 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 31% | 27% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 30% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 2 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 41% | 22% | 3% |