The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| UCSB (4‑2) vs UC Davis (3‑3) |
7 | UCSB Wins | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego (4‑4) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (3‑4) |
1 | UC San Diego Wins | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine (5‑3) vs UC Riverside (3‑5) |
0 | UC Irvine Wins | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly (3‑5) vs CSU Northridge (5‑3) |
0 | Cal Poly Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. (5‑4) vs CSU Fullerton (3‑4) |
0 | Long Beach St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ^ | ||