The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (0‑0) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (0‑0) |
19 | UCSB Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 35% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (0‑0) vs Sacramento St. (0‑0) |
2 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Long Beach St. (0‑0) vs Utah Valley (0‑0) |
1 | Long Beach St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| UC Riverside (0‑0) vs UC Irvine (0‑0) |
1 | UC Riverside Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| CSU Northridge (0‑0) vs Cal Poly (0‑0) |
0 | CSU Northridge Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| UC San Diego (0‑0) vs California Baptist (0‑0) |
0 | UC San Diego Wins | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||