The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (17‑11) vs UC Riverside (9‑20) |
29 | UCSB Wins | <1% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 4% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 8% | ^ | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 25% | 29% | 20% | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i (19‑7) vs UC Davis (17‑11) |
9 | Hawai'i Wins | <1% | 2% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 8% | ^ | ||
| UC Davis Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 8% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑20) vs UC San Diego (19‑9) |
3 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 6% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 8% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge (18‑10) vs UC Irvine (18‑10) |
3 | CSU Northridge Wins | <1% | 3% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 8% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 21% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 7% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. (8‑20) vs Cal Poly (12‑16) |
1 | Long Beach St. Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 8% | ^ | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 10% | ^ | ||