The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (12‑7) vs Long Beach St. (8‑12) |
40 | UCSB Wins | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | 5% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | ||
| UC Riverside (7‑13) vs UC Davis (11‑8) |
3 | UC Riverside Wins | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Cal Poly (7‑13) vs CSU Fullerton (9‑12) |
1 | Cal Poly Wins | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Hawai'i (14‑4) vs CSU Northridge (11‑9) |
0 | Hawai'i Wins | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC Irvine (13‑7) vs UC San Diego (15‑5) |
0 | UC Irvine Wins | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||