The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCSB Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UCSB (8‑4) vs CSU Fullerton (5‑7) |
28 | UCSB Wins | 9% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | 6% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 10% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (5‑8) vs UC Irvine (7‑4) |
2 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 9% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | 9% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Cal Poly (5‑7) vs UC San Diego (10‑1) |
2 | Cal Poly Wins | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 8% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| UC Riverside (6‑6) vs Hawai'i (10‑2) |
2 | UC Riverside Wins | 9% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| UC Davis (5‑5) vs CSU Northridge (6‑5) |
1 | UC Davis Wins | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 8% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% | ||