PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Dec 3 4:00 am

Big West Basketball - Week 4 of 18

UCSB Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UCSB Gauchos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gauchos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCSB Gauchos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UCSB Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UCSB Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
UCSB
(4‑2)

vs
UC Davis
(3‑3)
7 UCSB Wins 16% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 5% 2% ^
Current Probabilities 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
UC Davis Wins 11% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% ^
UC San Diego
(4‑4)

vs
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(3‑4)
1 UC San Diego Wins 15% 14% 13% 11% 11% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% ^
Current Probabilities 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins 14% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 4% ^
UC Irvine
(5‑3)

vs
UC Riverside
(3‑5)
0 UC Irvine Wins 14% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4% ^
Current Probabilities 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
UC Riverside Wins 15% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
Cal Poly
(3‑5)

vs
CSU Northridge
(5‑3)
0 Cal Poly Wins 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% ^
Current Probabilities 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
CSU Northridge Wins 14% 14% 13% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 4% ^
Long Beach St.
(5‑4)

vs
CSU Fullerton
(3‑4)
0 Long Beach St. Wins 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% ^
Current Probabilities 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
CSU Fullerton Wins 14% 14% 13% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament