Where are the UCSB Gauchos going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UCSB standings table presents the probabilities of the Gauchos winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Riverside | 2i UC Riverside Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Alcorn St. 69-52 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Idaho 68-80 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ CSU Northridge 68-64 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs CSU Fullerton 75-68 Sun, Dec 15 vs St. Francis (IL) Wed, Dec 18 vs Montana St. Sat, Dec 21 @ UNLV Sun, Dec 29 vs St. Thomas |
0 | 2 | 15% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| Long Beach St. | 2 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 vs San José State 66-82 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ CSU Fullerton 73-56 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Hawai'i 76-68 Won Tue, Dec 10 @ San Diego 76-70 Thu, Dec 19 @ Pepperd. Sun, Dec 22 vs La Sierra Thu, Jan 02 vs UC Riverside Sat, Jan 04 @ CSU Bakersfield |
0 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 37% |
| UC Davis | 2 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Oregon St. 57-90 Won Thu, Dec 05 vs Cal Poly 77-66 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs UCSB 71-60 Won Sat, Dec 14 @ Sacram. St. 69-62 Wed, Dec 18 vs Idaho Sat, Dec 21 @ Pepperd. Sat, Dec 28 vs Cal Maritime Thu, Jan 02 @ CSU Bakersfield |
0 | 2 | 12% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| UC Irvine | 1 UC Irvine Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 29 @ Kent State 51-39 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Towson 67-60 Won Thu, Dec 05 vs CSU Bakersfield 82-66 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ Oregon St. 55-67 Thu, Dec 19 @ Belmont Sat, Dec 21 @ Duquesne Mon, Dec 30 @ California Baptist Thu, Jan 02 @ Cal Poly |
0 | 1 | 56% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CSU Northridge | 1 CSU Northridge Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 @ Montana 75-83 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Montana St. 72-69 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs UC Riverside 64-68 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Cal Poly 102-91 Wed, Dec 18 @ USC Sat, Dec 21 vs Chicago St. Sat, Dec 28 vs La Sierra Thu, Jan 02 @ CSU Fullerton |
1 | 2 | 9% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Hawai'i | 0 Hawai'i Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 27 vs Hawaii Pacific 67-63 Lost Tue, Dec 03 @ Grand Canyon 72-78 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Long Beach St. 68-76 Won Sun, Dec 15 vs TX A&M C.C. 71-62 Sun, Dec 22 vs Charlotte Fri, Jan 03 vs UCSB Sun, Jan 05 vs Cal Poly Thu, Jan 09 @ UC Riverside |
1 | 1 | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 20% |
| UCSB | 0 UCSB Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 29 vs Miss. Valley St. 81-48 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs UC San Diego 76-84 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ UC Davis 60-71 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs Green Bay 83-66 Wed, Dec 18 @ Loyola Marymount Sun, Dec 22 @ Missouri St. Sat, Dec 28 vs Westcliff Fri, Jan 03 @ Hawai'i |
2 | 2 | 3% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 15% |
| Cal Poly | 0 Cal Poly Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Stanford 97-90 Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ UC Davis 66-77 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs CSU Northridge 91-102 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ San José State 100-107 Tue, Dec 17 vs Denver Sat, Dec 21 @ Nebraska O. Thu, Jan 02 vs UC Irvine Sun, Jan 05 @ Hawai'i |
2 | 2 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 27% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 @ N. Eastern 68-60 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Southern Utah 64-74 Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ UC Irvine 66-82 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ UC San Diego 60-81 Sun, Dec 15 vs La Sierra Wed, Dec 18 @ Portland Sat, Dec 21 vs Portland St. Mon, Dec 23 @ North Dakota St. |
2 | 2 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 33% |
| CSU Fullerton | 0 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Pacific 55-64 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs Long Beach St. 56-73 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ UC Riverside 68-75 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs La Sierra 61-55 Sun, Dec 15 vs Denver Sun, Dec 22 vs Wyoming Sat, Dec 28 vs Nobel Thu, Jan 02 vs CSU Northridge |
2 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 54% |
| UC San Diego | 2 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 23 vs Toledo 80-45 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs La Verne 109-33 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ UCSB 84-76 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs CSU Bakersfield 81-60 Sun, Dec 15 @ Idaho Tue, Dec 17 @ Utah St. Sat, Dec 21 @ San Diego Sat, Dec 28 vs Occidental |
0 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 37% | ||
| (2)Long Beach St. | 2 | 0 | 8% |
| (8)Cal Poly | 0 | 2 | 7% |
| (9)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 | 2 | 7% |
| (6)Hawai'i | 0 | 1 | 7% |
| (10)CSU Fullerton | 0 | 2 | 5% |
| (5)CSU Northridge | 1 | 1 | 5% |
| (3)UC Davis | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (1)UC Riverside | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (4)UC Irvine | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | 15% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UC San Diego (8‑2) |
76‑84 | Home | Thu Dec 5, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | UC Davis (6‑4) |
60‑71 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Hawai'i (6‑3) |
Away | Fri Jan 3, 12:01 am | |
| 10 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑6) |
Home | Thu Jan 9, TBD | |
| 10 | Cal Poly (5‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | UC Riverside (6‑4) |
Home | Thu Jan 16, TBD | |
| 11 | UC Davis (6‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | UC San Diego (8‑2) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 10:00 pm | |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (3‑8) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 9:00 pm | |
| 13 | CSU Northridge (7‑3) |
Home | Thu Jan 30, TBD | |
| 13 | Long Beach St. (4‑8) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, TBD | |
| 14 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑6) |
Away | Thu Feb 6, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Hawai'i (6‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 5:00 am | |
| 15 | UC Irvine (9‑1) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | UC Riverside (6‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | CSU Fullerton (3‑8) |
Home | Thu Feb 20, TBD | |
| 16 | Long Beach St. (4‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Cal Poly (5‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, TBD | |
| 17 | CSU Northridge (7‑3) |
Away | Sat Mar 1, TBD | |
| 18 | UC Irvine (9‑1) |
Home | Sat Mar 8, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Fran. St. | ‑‑ | 96‑47 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | Portland (3‑6) |
West CoastWest Coast | 94‑53 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Fresno St. (4‑7) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 91‑86 | Home | Wed Nov 13, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | San José State (6‑6) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 64‑59 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | UTEP (6‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 76‑79 | Home | Wed Nov 20, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Eastern Washington (2‑9) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 67‑51 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Miss. Valley St. (2‑8) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 81‑48 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 10:00 pm |
| 6 | Green Bay (2‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 83‑66 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Loyola Marymount (5‑4) |
West CoastWest Coast | Away | Wed Dec 18, 10:00 pm | |
| 7 | Missouri St. (5‑5) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | Away | Sun Dec 22, 2:00 pm | |
| 8 | Westcliff | ‑‑ | Home | Sat Dec 28, 7:00 pm |