The Most Important Games for Bayern Munich are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bayern Munich fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bayern Munich Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Bayern Munich (2‑0) vs Hamburg SV (0‑1‑1) |
49 | Bayern Munich Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (1‑1) vs TSG Hoffenheim (1‑1) |
2 | FC Union Berlin Wins | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Mainz (0‑1‑1) vs RB Leipzig (1‑1) |
2 | Mainz Wins | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| FC Augsburg (1‑1) vs St. Pauli (1‑0‑1) |
2 | FC Augsburg Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (0‑1‑1) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (2‑0) |
2 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| SC Freiburg (0‑2) vs VfB Stuttgart (1‑1) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Werder Bremen (0‑1‑1) vs Borussia (0‑1‑1) |
1 | Werder Bremen Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Borussia Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (1‑0‑1) vs FC Cologne (2‑0) |
1 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (1‑0‑1) vs FC Heidenheim (0‑2) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | ||