The Most Important Games for Bayern Munich are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bayern Munich fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bayern Munich Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Bayern Munich (3‑0‑2) vs RB Leipzig (3‑2) |
30 | Bayern Munich Wins | 41% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | 31% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SV Elversberg (2‑2‑1) vs FC Augsburg (2‑1‑2) |
4 | SV Elversberg Wins | 40% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | 38% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Paderborn (1‑3‑1) vs Werder Bremen (2‑1‑2) |
4 | SC Paderborn Wins | 40% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (1‑3‑1) vs Borussia Dortmund (4‑0‑1) |
2 | FC Union Berlin Wins | 39% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg (4‑0‑1) vs Bayer Leverkusen (3‑1‑1) |
2 | SC Freiburg Wins | 40% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 39% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (0‑5) vs TSG Hoffenheim (1‑4) |
1 | Borussia Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne (2‑2‑1) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (1‑2‑2) |
1 | FC Cologne Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 38% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz (2‑2‑1) vs Schalke (1‑2‑2) |
0 | Mainz Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Schalke Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (2‑3) vs Hamburg SV (2‑3) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | 39% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||