The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Augustana (16‑6‑3) vs Minnesota State (12‑8‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
14 | Augustana Sweeps 1 Game | 24% | 31% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Sweeps 1 Game | 12% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (1‑23) vs Michigan Tech (16‑8‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 22% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑14‑1) vs St. Thomas (14‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 26% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 27% | 25% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑12‑3) vs Bowling Green (12‑6‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 19% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Augustana (16‑6‑3) vs Minnesota State (12‑8‑5) |
14 | Augustana Wins | 24% | 31% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State Wins | 12% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (1‑23) vs Michigan Tech (16‑8‑2) |
3 | Northern Michigan Wins | 22% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 18% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (9‑14‑1) vs St. Thomas (14‑7‑3) |
2 | Lake Superior Wins | 23% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 17% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑12‑3) vs Bowling Green (12‑6‑4) |
1 | Bemidji State Wins | 19% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 18% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||