The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Augustana (7‑5‑1) vs Bemidji State (9‑7‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
21 | Augustana Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (0‑16) vs Bowling Green (7‑4‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (5‑10‑1) vs St. Thomas (6‑6‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (3‑11) vs Minnesota State (10‑2‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Augustana (7‑5‑1) vs Bemidji State (9‑7‑2) |
10 | Augustana Wins | 6% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (0‑16) vs Bowling Green (7‑4‑3) |
2 | Northern Michigan Wins | 5% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (5‑10‑1) vs St. Thomas (6‑6‑3) |
2 | Lake Superior Wins | 5% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (3‑11) vs Minnesota State (10‑2‑4) |
1 | Ferris State Wins | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State Wins | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||