The Most Important Games for the Augustana Vikings are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vikings final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Augustana Vikings fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northern Michigan (0‑12) vs Bemidji State (7‑5‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State (6‑2‑4) vs Michigan Tech (8‑3‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (3‑8‑1) vs Ferris State (2‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas (4‑5‑2) vs Bowling Green (4‑3‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Augustana Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northern Michigan (0‑12) vs Bemidji State (7‑5‑2) |
2 | Northern Michigan Wins | 11% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State (6‑2‑4) vs Michigan Tech (8‑3‑1) |
0 | Minnesota State Wins | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas (4‑5‑2) vs Bowling Green (4‑3‑3) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (3‑8‑1) vs Ferris State (2‑10) |
0 | Lake Superior Wins | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State Wins | 9% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||