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Tue Feb 10 3:45 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 20 of 22

Colgate Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Colgate Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Colgate Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Colgate
(11‑14‑3)

vs
Union
(16‑10‑2)

1 Game Remaining
17 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 12% 32% 48% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Union Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 3% 20% 38% 27% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown
(4‑19‑1)

vs
Harvard
(13‑10‑1)

1 Game Remaining
12 Brown Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 12% 24% 37% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 42% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% ^
Quinnipiac
(22‑5‑3)

vs
Princeton
(14‑9‑1)

1 Game Remaining
4 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 7% 26% 39% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 47% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(17‑6‑1)

vs
Yale
(7‑17)

1 Game Remaining
0 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 7% 25% 39% 20% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(17‑6)

vs
Rensselaer
(7‑21)

1 Game Remaining
0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 7% 25% 40% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 6% 24% 40% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Colgate Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Colgate Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Colgate
(11‑14‑3)

vs
Union
(16‑10‑2)
17 Colgate Wins <1% <1% 1% 12% 32% 48% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Union Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 20% 38% 27% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown
(4‑19‑1)

vs
Harvard
(13‑10‑1)
12 Brown Wins <1% <1% <1% 12% 24% 37% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Harvard Wins <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 42% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% ^
Quinnipiac
(22‑5‑3)

vs
Princeton
(14‑9‑1)
4 Quinnipiac Wins <1% <1% <1% 7% 26% 39% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Wins <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 47% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(17‑6‑1)

vs
Yale
(7‑17)
0 Dartmouth Wins <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale Wins <1% <1% <1% 7% 25% 39% 20% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(17‑6)

vs
Rensselaer
(7‑21)
0 Cornell Wins <1% <1% <1% 7% 25% 40% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 7% 24% 41% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins <1% <1% <1% 6% 24% 40% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament