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Mon Jan 12 10:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 16 of 22

Union Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Union Dutchmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dutchmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union Dutchmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Union Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Union Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Union
(13‑6‑2)
vs
Brown
(4‑13)
1 Game Remaining		 25 Union Sweeps 1 Game 1% 4% 9% 15% 19% 19% 18% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Brown Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 4% 10% 16% 20% 22% 15% 8% 3% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(2‑18‑2)
vs
Harvard
(7‑7‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 4 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 1% 4% 9% 15% 20% 20% 16% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Colgate
(7‑11‑2)
vs
Quinnipiac
(16‑4‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 1% 4% 8% 14% 17% 18% 18% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 7% 15% 18% 20% 18% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(11‑4)
vs
Princeton
(11‑5)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 8% 15% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 1% 4% 8% 14% 18% 20% 19% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(13‑4)
vs
Clarkson
(11‑11)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 8% 14% 19% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 1% 4% 8% 13% 17% 20% 19% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Yale
(5‑11)
vs
Rensselaer
(5‑16)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Yale Sweeps 1 Game 1% 4% 8% 14% 19% 19% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1%


Union Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Union Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Union
(13‑6‑2)
vs
Brown
(4‑13)		 25 Union Wins 1% 4% 9% 15% 19% 19% 18% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Brown Wins <1% 1% 4% 10% 16% 20% 22% 15% 8% 3% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(2‑18‑2)
vs
Harvard
(7‑7‑1)		 4 St. Lawrence Wins 1% 4% 9% 15% 20% 20% 16% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Harvard Wins 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Colgate
(7‑11‑2)
vs
Quinnipiac
(16‑4‑2)		 2 Colgate Wins 1% 4% 8% 14% 17% 18% 18% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac Wins 1% 3% 7% 15% 18% 20% 18% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(11‑4)
vs
Princeton
(11‑5)		 1 Cornell Wins 1% 3% 8% 15% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Princeton Wins 1% 4% 8% 14% 18% 20% 19% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(13‑4)
vs
Clarkson
(11‑11)		 0 Dartmouth Wins 1% 3% 8% 14% 19% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Clarkson Wins 1% 4% 8% 13% 17% 20% 19% 12% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Yale
(5‑11)
vs
Rensselaer
(5‑16)		 0 Yale Wins 1% 4% 8% 14% 19% 19% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins 1% 3% 8% 14% 18% 20% 18% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament