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Tue Feb 10 3:45 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 20 of 22

Union Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Union Dutchmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dutchmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union Dutchmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Union Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Union Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Union
(16‑10‑2)
vs
Colgate
(11‑14‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 5 Union Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 35% 19% 7% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 37% 33% 20% 2% <1% <1%
Brown
(4‑19‑1)
vs
Harvard
(13‑10‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Brown Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(17‑6‑1)
vs
Yale
(7‑17)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 23% 12% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 29% 25% 18% 1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(22‑5‑3)
vs
Princeton
(14‑9‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% <1% 3% 22% 36% 25% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(17‑6)
vs
Rensselaer
(7‑21)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 25% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 12% 2% <1% <1%


Union Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Union Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Union
(16‑10‑2)
vs
Colgate
(11‑14‑3)		 5 Union Wins X <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 35% 19% 7% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Colgate Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 37% 33% 20% 2% <1% <1%
Brown
(4‑19‑1)
vs
Harvard
(13‑10‑1)		 1 Brown Wins X <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Harvard Wins X <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(17‑6‑1)
vs
Yale
(7‑17)		 1 Dartmouth Wins X <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 23% 12% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Yale Wins X <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 29% 25% 18% 1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(22‑5‑3)
vs
Princeton
(14‑9‑1)		 1 Quinnipiac Wins X <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Princeton Wins X <1% <1% <1% 3% 22% 36% 25% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(17‑6)
vs
Rensselaer
(7‑21)		 0 Cornell Wins X <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 25% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 13% 1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins X <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 24% 12% 2% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament