Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The EPL table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GDi Goal Differential |
GPi Games Played 38 game season |
Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Liverpool | 4i Liverpool Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 15 vs Bournemouth 4-2 Won Mon, Aug 25 @ Newcastle 3-2 Won Sun, Aug 31 vs Arsenal 1-0 Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Burnley 1-0 Sat, Sep 20 vs Everton Sat, Sep 27 @ Crystal Palace Sat, Oct 04 @ Chelsea Sat, Oct 18 vs Man U |
0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 36% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Arsenal | 3 Arsenal Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 17 @ Man U 1-0 Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Leeds United 5-0 Lost Sun, Aug 31 @ Liverpool 0-1 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Nottingham 3-0 Sun, Sep 21 vs Man City Sun, Sep 28 @ Newcastle Sat, Oct 04 vs West Ham Sat, Oct 18 @ Fulham |
1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 24% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Tottenham Hotspur | 3 Tottenham Hotspur Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 16 vs Burnley 3-0 Won Sat, Aug 23 @ Man City 2-0 Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs Bournemouth 0-1 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ West Ham 3-0 Sat, Sep 20 @ Brighton Sun, Sep 28 vs Wolves Sat, Oct 04 @ Leeds United Sat, Oct 18 vs Aston Villa |
1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 17% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BournemouthBournemoth | 3 Bournemouth Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 15 @ Liverpool 2-4 Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Wolves 1-0 Won Sat, Aug 30 @ Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Brighton 2-1 Sat, Sep 20 vs Newcastle Sat, Sep 27 @ Leeds United Sat, Oct 04 vs Fulham Sat, Oct 18 @ Crystal Palace |
1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Chelsea | 2 Chelsea Recent Games Tie Sun, Aug 17 vs Crystal Palace 0-0 Won Fri, Aug 22 @ West Ham 5-1 Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Fulham 2-0 Tie Sat, Sep 13 @ Brentford 2-2 Sat, Sep 20 @ Man U Sat, Sep 27 vs Brighton Sat, Oct 04 vs Liverpool Sat, Oct 18 @ Nottingham |
0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
Sunderland | 2 Sunderland Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 16 vs West Ham 3-0 Lost Sat, Aug 23 @ Burnley 0-2 Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Brentford 2-1 Tie Sat, Sep 13 @ Crystal Palace 0-0 Sun, Sep 21 vs Aston Villa Sat, Sep 27 @ Nottingham Sat, Oct 04 @ Man U Sat, Oct 18 vs Wolves |
1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
Everton | 2 Everton Recent Games Lost Mon, Aug 18 @ Leeds United 0-1 Won Sun, Aug 24 vs Brighton 2-0 Won Sat, Aug 30 @ Wolves 3-2 Tie Sat, Sep 13 vs Aston Villa 0-0 Sat, Sep 20 @ Liverpool Mon, Sep 29 vs West Ham Sat, Oct 04 vs Crystal Palace Sat, Oct 18 @ Man City |
1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 17% |
Manchester City | 2 Manchester City Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 16 @ Wolves 4-0 Lost Sat, Aug 23 vs Tottenham Hotspur 0-2 Lost Sun, Aug 31 @ Brighton 1-2 Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Man U 3-0 Sun, Sep 21 @ Arsenal Sat, Sep 27 vs Burnley Sat, Oct 04 @ Brentford Sat, Oct 18 vs Everton |
2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Crystal Palace | 1 Crystal Palace Recent Games Tie Sun, Aug 17 @ Chelsea 0-0 Tie Sun, Aug 24 vs Nottingham 1-1 Won Sun, Aug 31 @ Aston Villa 3-0 Tie Sat, Sep 13 vs Sunderland 0-0 Sat, Sep 20 @ West Ham Sat, Sep 27 vs Liverpool Sat, Oct 04 @ Everton Sat, Oct 18 vs Bournemouth |
0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Newcastle | 1 Newcastle Recent Games Tie Sat, Aug 16 @ Aston Villa 0-0 Lost Mon, Aug 25 vs Liverpool 2-3 Tie Sat, Aug 30 @ Leeds United 0-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Wolves 1-0 Sat, Sep 20 @ Bournemouth Sun, Sep 28 vs Arsenal Sat, Oct 04 vs Nottingham Sat, Oct 18 @ Brighton |
1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 21% |
Fulham | 1 Fulham Recent Games Tie Sat, Aug 16 @ Brighton 1-1 Tie Sun, Aug 24 vs Man U 1-1 Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Chelsea 0-2 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Leeds United 1-0 Sat, Sep 20 vs Brentford Sat, Sep 27 @ Aston Villa Sat, Oct 04 @ Bournemouth Sat, Oct 18 vs Arsenal |
1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
Brentford | 1 Brentford Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 17 @ Nottingham 1-3 Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Aston Villa 1-0 Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Sunderland 1-2 Tie Sat, Sep 13 vs Chelsea 2-2 Sat, Sep 20 @ Fulham Sat, Sep 27 vs Man U Sat, Oct 04 vs Man City Sat, Oct 18 @ West Ham |
2 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 20% |
Brighton | 1 Brighton Recent Games Tie Sat, Aug 16 vs Fulham 1-1 Lost Sun, Aug 24 @ Everton 0-2 Won Sun, Aug 31 vs Man City 2-1 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Bournemouth 1-2 Sat, Sep 20 vs Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Sep 27 @ Chelsea Sat, Oct 04 @ Wolves Sat, Oct 18 vs Newcastle |
2 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
Manchester United | 1 Manchester United Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 17 vs Arsenal 0-1 Tie Sun, Aug 24 @ Fulham 1-1 Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Burnley 3-2 Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Man City 0-3 Sat, Sep 20 vs Chelsea Sat, Sep 27 @ Brentford Sat, Oct 04 vs Sunderland Sat, Oct 18 @ Liverpool |
2 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 12% |
Nottingham | 1 Nottingham Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 17 vs Brentford 3-1 Tie Sun, Aug 24 @ Crystal Palace 1-1 Lost Sun, Aug 31 vs West Ham 0-3 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Arsenal 0-3 Sat, Sep 20 @ Burnley Sat, Sep 27 vs Sunderland Sat, Oct 04 @ Newcastle Sat, Oct 18 vs Chelsea |
2 | 1 | -4 | 4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
Leeds United | 1 Leeds United Recent Games Won Mon, Aug 18 vs Everton 1-0 Lost Sat, Aug 23 @ Arsenal 0-5 Tie Sat, Aug 30 vs Newcastle 0-0 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Fulham 0-1 Sat, Sep 20 @ Wolves Sat, Sep 27 vs Bournemouth Sat, Oct 04 vs Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Oct 18 @ Burnley |
2 | 1 | -5 | 4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% |
Burnley | 1 Burnley Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 16 @ Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Sunderland 2-0 Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Man U 2-3 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Liverpool 0-1 Sat, Sep 20 vs Nottingham Sat, Sep 27 @ Man City Sat, Oct 04 @ Aston Villa Sat, Oct 18 vs Leeds United |
3 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
West Ham | 1 West Ham Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 16 @ Sunderland 0-3 Lost Fri, Aug 22 vs Chelsea 1-5 Won Sun, Aug 31 @ Nottingham 3-0 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Sat, Sep 20 vs Crystal Palace Mon, Sep 29 @ Everton Sat, Oct 04 @ Arsenal Sat, Oct 18 vs Brentford |
3 | 0 | -7 | 4 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 38% |
Aston Villa | 0 Aston Villa Recent Games Tie Sat, Aug 16 vs Newcastle 0-0 Lost Sat, Aug 23 @ Brentford 0-1 Lost Sun, Aug 31 vs Crystal Palace 0-3 Tie Sat, Sep 13 @ Everton 0-0 Sun, Sep 21 @ Sunderland Sat, Sep 27 vs Fulham Sat, Oct 04 vs Burnley Sat, Oct 18 @ Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 2 | -4 | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 32% |
WolverhamptonWolves | 0 Wolverhampton Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 16 vs Man City 0-4 Lost Sat, Aug 23 @ Bournemouth 0-1 Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs Everton 2-3 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Newcastle 0-1 Sat, Sep 20 vs Leeds United Sun, Sep 28 @ Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Oct 04 vs Brighton Sat, Oct 18 @ Sunderland |
4 | 0 | -7 | 4 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 60% |