The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (12‑2‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑4‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 40% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont (6‑8‑3) vs Boston University (9‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 30% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 2 Games | 26% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑8‑3) vs MassachusettsMass. (8‑8‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (12‑3‑1) vs Merrimack (5‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 26% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 34% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (8‑7‑1) vs New Hampshire (7‑4‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 27% | 29% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 26% | 29% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (12‑2‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑4‑2) |
5 | Maine Wins | 33% | 31% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 18% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑8‑3) vs MassachusettsMass. (8‑8‑2) |
0 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont (6‑8‑3) vs Boston University (9‑6‑1) |
0 | Vermont Wins | 27% | 30% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 27% | 29% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (12‑3‑1) vs Merrimack (5‑10‑1) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 26% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 34% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (8‑7‑1) vs New Hampshire (7‑4‑3) |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | 27% | 29% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 26% | 29% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||