The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (11‑7‑1) vs Providence (8‑6‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
54 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (9‑9) vs Boston University (9‑8‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑11) vs ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack (7‑10) vs Vermont (5‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (11‑7‑1) vs Providence (8‑6‑2) |
24 | Maine Wins | 7% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Providence Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (9‑9) vs Boston University (9‑8‑1) |
1 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 4% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑11) vs ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | 5% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack (7‑10) vs Vermont (5‑10) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||