The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (3‑0) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (1‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
13 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack (1‑2‑1) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (3‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont (0‑2‑1) vs Providence (2‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | 25% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 2 Games | 24% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (3‑3) vs ConnecticutUConn (4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (3‑0) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (1‑2) |
7 | Maine Wins | 25% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Merrimack (1‑2‑1) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (3‑1) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (3‑3) vs ConnecticutUConn (4‑2) |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont (0‑2‑1) vs Providence (2‑1) |
0 | Vermont Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Providence Wins | 24% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||