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Sun Feb 25 9:00 am

Hockey East - Week 22 of 23

Maine What If?

The Maine Black Bears What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Maine plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Maine What If?

Next Game - Vermont (12‑15‑3)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Win Next Game 12 0 2 7 38 X X 67% 21% 10% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 11 0 2 7 35 X X 58% 24% 13% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 11 0 2 8 35 X X 40% 33% 17% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^


Current Series - Vermont (12‑15‑3) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Maine Sweeps 13 0 2 7 41 X X 75% 16% 9% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 11 0 2 7 35 X X 58% 24% 13% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Vermont Sweeps 11 0 2 9 35 X X 17% 34% 27% 19% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Best Case Scenario X X 68% 21% 10% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings X X 58% 24% 13% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X X 38% 29% 15% 16% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Boston College beats New Hampshire
   Maine beats Vermont
Worst Case Scenario
   New Hampshire beats Boston College
   Vermont beats Maine
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
4 of 4 100% 15 0 2 7 47 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 14 0 2 8 44 X X 83% 17% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 13 0 2 9 41 X X 38% 51% 11% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 4 25% 12 0 2 10 38 X X 2% 21% 56% 22% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 4 0% 11 0 2 11 35 X X X <1% 22% 64% 14% 1% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament