The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass (15‑9) vs Akron (19‑4) |
6 | UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 30% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Akron Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 8% | ||
| Kent State (17‑6) vs Eastern Michigan (9‑14) |
3 | Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 9% | ||
| Bowling Green (14‑9) vs Northern Illinois (7‑14) |
2 | Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 21% | 15% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 8% | ||
| Western Michigan (8‑14) vs Toledo (12‑11) |
1 | Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Toledo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 7% | ||
| Miami OH (23‑0) vs Ohio (13‑11) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Ball State (7‑15) vs Buffalo (14‑9) |
0 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 7% | ||