The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass (15‑11) vs Miami OH (25‑0) |
6 | UMass Wins | X | X | <1% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 12% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | X | X | <1% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 26% | 26% | 7% | ||
| Ohio (13‑13) vs Ball State (8‑17) |
2 | Ohio Wins | X | X | <1% | 12% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 24% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Ball State Wins | X | X | <1% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 7% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (9‑17) vs Central Michigan (8‑17) |
2 | Eastern Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 6% | ||
| Buffalo (15‑10) vs Northern Illinois (8‑16) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | <1% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | <1% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 17% | 6% | ||
| Akron (20‑5) vs Western Michigan (9‑16) |
1 | Akron Wins | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Bowling Green (16‑10) vs Kent State (19‑7) |
0 | Bowling Green Wins | X | X | <1% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 24% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% | ||
| Kent State Wins | X | X | X | 14% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 6% | ||