Where are the UMass Minutemen going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMass standings table presents the probabilities of the Minutemen winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Miami OH | 8i Miami OH Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Toledo 87-73 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Central Michigan 100-61 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Buffalo 105-102 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Kent State 107-101 Tue, Jan 27 vs UMass Sat, Jan 31 vs Northern Illinois Tue, Feb 03 @ Buffalo Sat, Feb 07 @ Marshall |
0 | 8 | 84% | 13% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Akron | 6 Akron Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Bowling Green 77-67 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Ball State 87-77 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Western Michigan 104-89 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Buffalo 82-63 Fri, Jan 23 @ Ohio Tue, Jan 27 vs Toledo Fri, Jan 30 vs Kent State Tue, Feb 03 @ Eastern Michigan |
1 | 7 | 12% | 51% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kent State | 5 Kent State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Central Michigan 85-87 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Buffalo 87-81 Won Fri, Jan 16 vs Toledo 87-84 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Miami OH 101-107 Sat, Jan 24 @ Eastern Michigan Tue, Jan 27 vs Ohio Fri, Jan 30 @ Akron Tue, Feb 03 @ Toledo |
2 | 7 | 3% | 27% | 35% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Ohio | 5 Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Buffalo 91-80 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Toledo 85-101 Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ Ball State 71-76 Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Northern Illinois 80-77 Fri, Jan 23 vs Akron Tue, Jan 27 @ Kent State Sat, Jan 31 @ Buffalo Tue, Feb 03 vs Western Michigan |
3 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 12% |
| Bowling Green | 4 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Kent State 93-96 Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Akron 67-77 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Eastern Michigan 85-79 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Western Michigan 72-54 Sat, Jan 24 @ Toledo Tue, Jan 27 vs Buffalo Sat, Jan 31 @ Central Michigan Tue, Feb 03 vs Ball State |
3 | 7 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 6% |
| Toledo | 4 Toledo Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Miami OH 73-87 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Ohio 101-85 Lost Fri, Jan 16 @ Kent State 84-87 Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ UMass 82-84 Sat, Jan 24 vs Bowling Green Tue, Jan 27 @ Akron Sat, Jan 31 vs Ball State Tue, Feb 03 vs Kent State |
3 | 7 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 06 @ Ball State 74-52 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Western Michigan 62-79 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Northern Illinois 77-59 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Bowling Green 79-85 Sat, Jan 24 vs Kent State Tue, Jan 27 @ Central Michigan Sat, Jan 31 @ UMass Tue, Feb 03 vs Akron |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 46% |
| Buffalo | 3 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Ohio 80-91 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs Kent State 81-87 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Miami OH 102-105 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Akron 63-82 Fri, Jan 23 vs UMass Tue, Jan 27 @ Bowling Green Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio Tue, Feb 03 vs Miami OH |
4 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 16% |
| UMass | 3 UMass Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Ball State 79-71 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Western Michigan 85-82 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Northern Illinois 68-70 Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Toledo 84-82 Fri, Jan 23 @ Buffalo Tue, Jan 27 @ Miami OH Sat, Jan 31 vs Eastern Michigan Tue, Feb 03 vs Central Michigan |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 43% |
| Ball State | 2 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ UMass 71-79 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Akron 77-87 Won Fri, Jan 16 vs Ohio 76-71 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Central Michigan 68-67 Sat, Jan 24 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Jan 31 @ Toledo Tue, Feb 03 @ Bowling Green Sat, Feb 07 @ UL Monroe |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Northern Illinois | 2 Northern Illinois Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 06 vs Toledo 61-75 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Eastern Michigan 59-77 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs UMass 70-68 Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ Ohio 77-80 Sat, Jan 24 @ Ball State Tue, Jan 27 vs Western Michigan Sat, Jan 31 @ Miami OH Sat, Feb 07 @ Georgia St. |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% |
| Central Michigan | 1 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Akron 69-82 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Kent State 87-85 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Miami OH 61-100 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Ball State 67-68 Sat, Jan 24 @ Western Michigan Tue, Jan 27 vs Eastern Michigan Sat, Jan 31 vs Bowling Green Tue, Feb 03 @ UMass |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Western Michigan | 1 Western Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Eastern Michigan 79-62 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs UMass 82-85 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Akron 89-104 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Bowling Green 54-72 Sat, Jan 24 vs Central Michigan Tue, Jan 27 @ Northern Illinois Tue, Feb 03 @ Ohio Sat, Feb 07 @ TX St. |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Miami OH | 8 | 0 | 17% |
| (2)Akron | 6 | 1 | 13% |
| (3)Kent State | 5 | 2 | 11% |
| (5)Bowling Green | 4 | 3 | 7% |
| (6)Toledo | 4 | 3 | 3% |
| (4)Ohio | 5 | 3 | 3% |
| (8)Buffalo | 3 | 4 | 2% |
| (7)Eastern Michigan | 3 | 4 | 1% |
| (11)Northern Illinois | 2 | 5 | <1% |
| (10)Ball State | 2 | 5 | <1% |
| (13)Western Michigan | 1 | 6 | <1% |
| (12)Central Michigan | 1 | 6 | <1% |
| Elimination | 43% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kent State (14‑5) |
59‑69 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (9‑10) |
74‑80 | Away | Tue Dec 30, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Bowling Green (13‑6) |
100‑101 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Ohio (11‑9) |
83‑86 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Ball State (6‑13) |
79‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Western Michigan (7‑12) |
85‑82 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Northern Illinois (6‑12) |
68‑70 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Toledo (10‑9) |
84‑82 | Home | Tue Jan 20, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Buffalo (13‑6) |
Away | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Miami OH (20‑0) |
Away | Tue Jan 27, 9:00 pm | |
| 13 | Eastern Michigan (9‑10) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Central Michigan (5‑14) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Akron (15‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Miami OH (20‑0) |
Home | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Buffalo (13‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ball State (6‑13) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Bowling Green (13‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 2:00 pm | |
| 18 | Ohio (11‑9) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marshall (12‑7) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 72‑78 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Albany (7‑12) |
America EastAmerica East | 83‑62 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Le Moyne (9‑10) |
NortheastNorth East | 94‑80 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | Central Conn. (10‑7) |
NortheastNorth East | 84‑77 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Charleston (11‑8) |
CoastalCoastal | 65‑69 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | Green Bay (11‑9) |
HorizonHorizon | 75‑79 | Home | Sat Nov 22 |
| 4 | Oregon St. (10‑11) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑65 | Away | Mon Nov 24 |
| 5 | Harvard (10‑8) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 78‑71 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (8‑11) |
America EastAmerica East | 80‑60 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston College (8‑10) |
ACCACC | 76‑74 | Away | Wed Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Florida St. (8‑11) |
ACCACC | 103‑95 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Massachusetts-Boston | ‑‑ | 91‑40 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 12:00 pm |
| 14 | Coastal Carolina (11‑9) |
SunbeltSunbelt | Away | Sat Feb 7, 1:00 pm |