Where are the UMass Minutemen going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMass standings table presents the probabilities of the Minutemen winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Miami OH | 11i Miami OH Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Kent State 107-101 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs UMass 86-84 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Northern Illinois 85-61 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Buffalo 73-71 Sat, Feb 07 @ Marshall Fri, Feb 13 vs Ohio Tue, Feb 17 @ UMass Sat, Feb 21 vs Bowling Green |
0 | 11 | 87% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Akron | 10 Akron Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Ohio 86-65 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Toledo 91-81 Won Fri, Jan 30 vs Kent State 69-52 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Eastern Michigan 66-64 Sat, Feb 07 @ Troy Fri, Feb 13 vs UMass Tue, Feb 17 @ Western Michigan Fri, Feb 20 @ Ball State |
1 | 11 | 12% | 72% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kent State | 8 Kent State Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Eastern Michigan 76-75 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Ohio 72-57 Lost Fri, Jan 30 @ Akron 52-69 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Toledo 75-72 Sat, Feb 07 @ Southern Miss Wed, Feb 11 vs Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 14 @ Ball State Tue, Feb 17 @ Bowling Green |
3 | 11 | <1% | 16% | 82% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ohio | 7 Ohio Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Akron 65-86 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Kent State 57-72 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Buffalo 95-83 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Western Michigan 91-71 Sat, Feb 07 @ Old Dominion Fri, Feb 13 @ Miami OH Tue, Feb 17 vs Ball State Sat, Feb 21 @ Northern Illinois |
5 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 31% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| Toledo | 6 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Bowling Green 73-72 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Akron 81-91 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Ball State 73-55 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Kent State 72-75 Sat, Feb 07 @ James Madison Wed, Feb 11 @ Western Michigan Sat, Feb 14 @ Bowling Green Sat, Feb 21 vs Eastern Michigan |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 32% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 4% |
| UMass | 6 UMass Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Buffalo 68-67 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Miami OH 84-86 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Eastern Michigan 70-67 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Central Michigan 95-89 Sat, Feb 07 @ Coast.Car. Fri, Feb 13 @ Akron Tue, Feb 17 vs Miami OH Sat, Feb 21 vs Buffalo |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 7% |
| Bowling Green | 5 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Toledo 72-73 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Buffalo 78-89 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Central Michigan 59-62 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Ball State 77-52 Sat, Feb 07 @ Arkansas St. Wed, Feb 11 @ Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 14 vs Toledo Tue, Feb 17 vs Kent State |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 17% |
| Buffalo | 4 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs UMass 67-68 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Bowling Green 89-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio 83-95 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Miami OH 71-73 Sat, Feb 07 @ South Alabama Wed, Feb 11 @ Ball State Tue, Feb 17 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 21 @ UMass |
7 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 22% |
| Ball State | 3 Ball State Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Central Michigan 68-67 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Northern Illinois 58-53 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Toledo 55-73 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Bowling Green 52-77 Sat, Feb 07 @ UL Monroe Wed, Feb 11 vs Buffalo Sat, Feb 14 vs Kent State Tue, Feb 17 @ Ohio |
7 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Northern Illinois | 3 Northern Illinois Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ Ohio 77-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Ball State 53-58 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Western Michigan 85-65 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Miami OH 61-85 Sat, Feb 07 @ Georgia St. Wed, Feb 11 vs Bowling Green Sat, Feb 14 @ Central Michigan Tue, Feb 17 @ Buffalo |
7 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 86% |
| Central Michigan | 3 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Western Michigan 65-77 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Eastern Michigan 100-65 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Bowling Green 62-59 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ UMass 89-95 Sat, Feb 07 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 14 vs Northern Illinois Tue, Feb 17 @ Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 21 vs Western Michigan |
8 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Kent State 75-76 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Central Michigan 65-100 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ UMass 67-70 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Akron 64-66 Sat, Feb 07 @ App. St. Wed, Feb 11 @ Kent State Sat, Feb 14 vs Western Michigan Tue, Feb 17 vs Central Michigan |
8 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 84% |
| Western Michigan | 2 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Bowling Green 54-72 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Central Michigan 77-65 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Northern Illinois 65-85 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Ohio 71-91 Sat, Feb 07 @ TX St. Wed, Feb 11 vs Toledo Sat, Feb 14 @ Eastern Michigan Tue, Feb 17 vs Akron |
8 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (3)Kent State | 8 | 3 | 20% |
| (2)Akron | 10 | 1 | 19% |
| (4)Ohio | 7 | 5 | 16% |
| (5)Toledo | 6 | 5 | 15% |
| (1)Miami OH | 11 | 0 | 15% |
| (7)Bowling Green | 5 | 6 | 5% |
| (8)Buffalo | 4 | 7 | 2% |
| (10)Northern Illinois | 3 | 7 | <1% |
| (12)Eastern Michigan | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (9)Ball State | 3 | 7 | <1% |
| (11)Central Michigan | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (13)Western Michigan | 2 | 8 | <1% |
| Elimination | 7% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kent State (17‑6) |
59‑69 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (9‑14) |
74‑80 | Away | Tue Dec 30, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Bowling Green (14‑9) |
100‑101 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Ohio (13‑11) |
83‑86 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Ball State (7‑15) |
79‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Western Michigan (8‑14) |
85‑82 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Northern Illinois (7‑14) |
68‑70 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Toledo (12‑11) |
84‑82 | Home | Tue Jan 20, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Buffalo (14‑9) |
68‑67 | Away | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Miami OH (23‑0) |
84‑86 | Away | Tue Jan 27, 9:00 pm |
| 13 | Eastern Michigan (9‑14) |
70‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 6:00 pm |
| 14 | Central Michigan (7‑16) |
95‑89 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Akron (19‑4) |
Away | Fri Feb 13, 9:00 pm | |
| 16 | Miami OH (23‑0) |
Home | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Buffalo (14‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ball State (7‑15) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Bowling Green (14‑9) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 2:00 pm | |
| 18 | Ohio (13‑11) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marshall (14‑8) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 72‑78 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Albany (7‑16) |
America EastAmerica East | 83‑62 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Le Moyne (11‑12) |
NortheastNorth East | 94‑80 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | Central Conn. (11‑10) |
NortheastNorth East | 84‑77 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Charleston (15‑8) |
CoastalCoastal | 65‑69 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | Green Bay (12‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 75‑79 | Home | Sat Nov 22 |
| 4 | Oregon St. (12‑12) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑65 | Away | Mon Nov 24 |
| 5 | Harvard (12‑9) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 78‑71 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (9‑14) |
America EastAmerica East | 80‑60 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston College (9‑13) |
ACCACC | 76‑74 | Away | Wed Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Florida St. (10‑12) |
ACCACC | 103‑95 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Massachusetts-Boston | ‑‑ | 91‑40 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 12:00 pm |
| 14 | Coastal Carolina (14‑10) |
SunbeltSunbelt | Away | Sat Feb 7, 1:00 pm |