The Akron Zips What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Akron plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 1 | 1% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 37% |
Current Standings | 0 | 1 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 26% | 44% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 2 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 53% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 26% | 41% |
Current Standings | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 26% | 44% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 27% | 52% |
Best Case Scenario Akron beats Northern Illinois Kent State beats Ohio |
Worst Case Scenario Northern Illinois beats Akron Ohio beats Kent State |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 97% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 6 | 2 | 46% | 46% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 5 | 3 | 8% | 39% | 41% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
4 of 7 | 57% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 8% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 1% |
3 of 7 | 43% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 33% | 47% | 15% |
2 of 7 | 29% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 5% | 39% | 56% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 94% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |