The Buffalo Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Buffalo plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 2% | 9% | 18% | 26% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 1% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Best Case Scenario | 6% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 1% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Buffalo beats Ball State Kent State beats Miami OH Eastern Michigan beats Ohio |
Worst Case Scenario Ball State beats Buffalo Miami OH beats Kent State Ohio beats Eastern Michigan |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 4% | 21% | 33% | 27% | 12% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 38% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 3 | 33% | 4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 32% | 36% | 18% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 17% | 66% | 13% | <1% | <1% |